Results 171 to 180 of about 54,234 (265)

Forecast‐Error Diagnostics in Neural Weather Models

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Deep learning weather prediction models enable efficient forecast‐error diagnostics through auto‐differentiation and low computational cost. We apply grid‐point relaxation and gradient‐based error sensitivity to identify key forecast‐error sources. Results show that medium‐range forecasts in the midlatitudes benefit most from relaxing the stratosphere ...
Uroš Perkan, Gregor Skok, Žiga Zaplotnik   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Thermodynamic-microphysical coupling mechanisms of hydrometeor phase transitions during persistent wind turbine icing. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Tang J, Feng T, Wang L, Li L, Zhang H, Jian Z, Ouyang Y.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

The relationship between equatorial wave interaction and heavy rainfall in Southeast Asia

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study examines the statistical relationship between co‐occurring equatorial waves and heavy rainfall in Southeast Asia. Heavy rainfall is more closely related to combined wave activity than to individual waves in many regions of Southeast Asia. The figure shows GPM–IMERG rainfall (shading) and ERA5 850‐hPa winds (vectors) composited on days when ...
Samantha Ferrett, John Methven, Oscar Martinez‐Alvarado, Xiangbo Feng, Thomas H. A. Frame, Christopher E. Holloway, Steven J. Woolnough, Gui‐Ying Yang   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Cloze, Frequency, Surprisal, or Plausibility? A Comparative Analysis of Predictors for Local Ambiguity Resolution. [PDF]

Cogn Sci
Ceháková M, Chromý J.
europepmc   +1 more source

Observations and numerical simulations of a valley‐exit wind in the Alpine Bolzano basin

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The evolution and spreading of the nocturnal valley‐exit wind flowing from the Isarco Valley into the Bolzano basin, in the Italian Alps, are found to be influenced by the basin temperature stratification. Measurements and high‐resolution simulations show that a cold‐air pool favors an upward trajectory of the flow at the exit of the valley.
Federica Gucci, Andrea Zonato, Marco Falocchi, Dino Zardi, Lorenzo Giovannini   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Regional drying over the Western U.S. driven by enhanced atmospheric subsidence amid global moistening from 1980 to 2020. [PDF]

Nat Commun
Ding Q, Shaw T, Wang H, Baxter I, Zhu J.
europepmc   +1 more source

How interference between the North Atlantic Oscillation and the tropical Indo‐Pacific convection modulates wave trains along the subtropical jet: Impacts on the Asian winter climate

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study reveals that the combined effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and anomalous Indo‐Pacific Walker circulation on the excitation of the wave train along the wintertime subtropical jet strongly depend on their phase combination. Their impacts interfere constructively or destructively over South Asia, leading to notable differences in
Yuki Asazuma, Masaya Kuramochi, Hiroaki Ueda   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Change in diurnal temperature range on the Tibetan plateau in the last 40 years and its influencing factors. [PDF]

Sci Rep
Chen M, Wen X, Li M, Zhu X, Feng J.
europepmc   +1 more source

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source