Results 231 to 240 of about 4,452 (291)

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Nowcasting World Trade With Machine Learning: A Three‐Step Approach

open access: yesJournal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT We nowcast world trade using machine learning, distinguishing between tree‐based methods (random forest and gradient boosting) and their linear‐regression‐based counterparts (macroeconomic random forest and gradient boosting—linear). While much less used in the literature, the latter are found to outperform not only the tree‐based techniques ...
Menzie Chinn   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Mammal Community Responses to Increasing Puma Activity in a Suburban Preserve. [PDF]

open access: yesEcol Evol
Sonawane C   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

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