Results 131 to 140 of about 14,993 (257)
Intraday Functional PCA Forecasting of Cryptocurrency Returns
ABSTRACT We study the functional PCA (FPCA) forecasting method in application to functions of intraday returns on Bitcoin. We show that improved interval forecasts of future return functions are obtained when the conditional heteroscedasticity of return functions is taken into account.
Joann Jasiak, Cheng Zhong
wiley +1 more source
Short-term forecasting and impact analysis of COVID-19 and the stock market in Morocco using ARIMA. [PDF]
Aboagye N, Nadarajah S.
europepmc +1 more source
El proyecto consiste en desarrollar una aplicación web destinada a la gestión de la configuración de los sistemas embarcados de las unidades de material móvil de Metro de Madrid. This project’s main objective is to develop a web application oriented to handle configuration management of embedded systems at Metro Madrid.
openaire +2 more sources
Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
A novel method of bayesian genetic optimization on automated hyperparameter tuning. [PDF]
Li Q +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT This study investigates the predictive power of the term spread for forecasting economic activity across both conventional and unconventional monetary policy regimes. Utilizing data from 22 OECD countries spanning the period from 1985Q1 to 2024Q2, the analysis reveals that the term spread generally maintains its ability to predict GDP growth ...
Petri Kuosmanen, Juuso Vataja
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT Sustainability has become an important factor shaping financial markets and investor behavior. This paper examines the relationship between sustainability indices and Central European stock markets using a time–frequency approach. Wavelet coherence is employed to capture time‐varying co‐movements between sustainability indices and stock market
Zuzana Janková +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Large language model-driven time-series forecasting of financial network indicators. [PDF]
Wang MH, Yeung Y.
europepmc +1 more source
Evaluating Forecasts at Multiple Horizons: An Extension of the Diebold–Mariano Approach
ABSTRACT Forecast accuracy tests are fundamental tools for comparing competing predictive models. The widely used Diebold–Mariano (DM) test assesses whether differences in forecast errors are statistically significant. However, its standard form is limited to pairwise comparisons at a single forecast horizon.
Andrew Grant +2 more
wiley +1 more source

