Results 271 to 280 of about 1,186,164 (296)
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A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events
Decision Analysis, 2019We develop a scoring rule tailored to a decision maker who makes simultaneous bets on events that occur at times that require bets to be placed together. The rule proposed captures the economic benefit to a well-defined bettor who acts on one set of probabilities p against a baseline or rival set q.
David Johnstone +2 more
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Scoring Rules and the Inevitability of Probability
International Statistical Review / Revue Internationale de Statistique, 1982Abstract : Let a person express his uncertainty about an event E, conditional upon an event F, by a number x and let him be given, as a result, a score which depends on x and the truth or falsity of E when F is true. It is shown that if the scores are additive for different events and if the person chooses admissible values only, then there exists a ...
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Scoring the Data Using Association Rules
Applied Intelligence, 2003zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Liu, B., Ma, Y., Wong, C.K., Yu, P.S.
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SSRN Electronic Journal, 2011
We introduce a simple method for constructing a scoring rule to elicit an agent's belief about a random variable that is incentive compatible irrespective of her risk-preference. The agent receives a fixed prize when her prediction error, defined by a loss function specified in the incentive scheme, is smaller than an independently generated random ...
Tanjim Hossain, Ryo Okui
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We introduce a simple method for constructing a scoring rule to elicit an agent's belief about a random variable that is incentive compatible irrespective of her risk-preference. The agent receives a fixed prize when her prediction error, defined by a loss function specified in the incentive scheme, is smaller than an independently generated random ...
Tanjim Hossain, Ryo Okui
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Weak undominance in scoring rule elections
Mathematical Social Sciences, 2007Weak undominance is a standard refinement in the voting literature. This work characterizes the set of weakly undominated voting strategies in scoring rule elections. Scoring rules are voting procedures under which voters cast scores for the different alternatives or candidates.
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Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation
Journal of the American Statistical Association, 2007Tilmann Gneiting, Adrian Raftery
exaly
Some Comparisons Among Quadratic, Spherical, and Logarithmic Scoring Rules
Decision Analysis, 2007J Eric Bickel
exaly
Evaluating Probabilities: Asymmetric Scoring Rules
Management Science, 1994Robert Lewis Winkler
exaly