Results 1 to 10 of about 18,464 (118)

Improving Seasonal Forecast Using Probabilistic Deep Learning

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2022
The path toward realizing the potential of seasonal forecasting and its socioeconomic benefits relies on improving general circulation model (GCM) based dynamical forecast systems. To improve dynamical seasonal forecasts, it is crucial to set up forecast
Baoxiang Pan, Gemma J. Anderson, André Goncalves, Donald D. Lucas, Céline J. W. Bonfils, Jiwoo Lee   +5 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Lessons from integrated seasonal forecast-crop modelling in Africa: A systematic review [PDF]

Open Life Sciences, 2022
Seasonal forecasts coupled with crop models can potentially enhance decision-making in smallholder farming in Africa. The study sought to inform future research through identifying and critiquing crop and climate models, and techniques for integrating ...
Mkuhlani Siyabusa, Zinyengere Nkulumo, Kumi Naomi, Crespo Olivier   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Development of seasonal climate outlooks for agriculture in Finland [PDF]

Advances in Science and Research, 2020
Seasonal climate forecast products offer useful information for farmers supporting them in planning and making decisions in their management practices, such as crop choice, planting and harvesting time, and water management.
A. Vajda, O. Hyvärinen
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal forecasts of the Saharan heat low characteristics: a multi-model assessment [PDF]

Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2021
The Saharan heat low (SHL) is a key component of the West African Monsoon system at the synoptic scale and a driver of summertime precipitation over the Sahel region.
C. G. Ngoungue Langue, C. G. Ngoungue Langue, C. Lavaysse, C. Lavaysse, M. Vrac, P. Peyrillé, C. Flamant   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Improving Hotel Room Demand Forecasts for Vienna across Hotel Classes and Forecast Horizons: Single Models and Combination Techniques Based on Encompassing Tests

Forecasting, 2021
The present study employs daily data made available by the STR SHARE Center covering the period from 1 January 2010 to 31 January 2020 for six Viennese hotel classes and their total. The forecast variable of interest is hotel room demand.
Ulrich Gunter
doaj   +1 more source

Flexible forecast presentation overcomes longstanding obstacles to using probabilistic seasonal forecasts

Frontiers in Climate, 2022
We describe an innovative forecast presentation that aims to overcome obstacles to using seasonal climate forecasts for decision making, trace factors that influenced how seasonal forecast conventions have evolved, and describe a workshop process for ...
James W. Hansen, Tufa Dinku, Andrew W. Robertson, Remi Cousin, Sylwia Trzaska, Simon J. Mason   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Advances in application of sub-seasonal weather forecast in Indian agriculture

Journal of Agrometeorology, 2023
Under the climatic variability and climate change, skilful weather forecast in different spatial and temporal scale encourages the farmers to organize and activate their own resources in the best possible way to increase the crop production.
NABANSU CHATTOPADHYAY
doaj   +1 more source

Analysis of a Short-Term and a Seasonal Precipitation Forecast over Kenya

Atmosphere, 2021
Kenya is highly dependent on precipitation for both food and water security. Farmers and pastoralists rely on rain to provide water for crops and vegetation to feed herds. As such, precipitation forecasts can be useful tools to inform decision makers and
Sara Miller, Vikalp Mishra, W. Lee Ellenburg, Emily Adams, Jason Roberts, Ashutosh Limaye, Robert Griffin   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal hydrologic prediction in the United States: understanding the role of initial hydrologic conditions and seasonal climate forecast skill [PDF]

Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2011
Seasonal hydrologic forecasts derive their skill from knowledge of initial hydrologic conditions and climate forecast skill associated with seasonal climate outlooks. Depending on the type of hydrological regime and the season, the relative contributions
S. Shukla, D. P. Lettenmaier
doaj   +1 more source

The financial value of seasonal forecast-based cultivar choice: Assessing the evidence in the Central Rift Valley of Ethiopia

Climate Risk Management, 2023
Among many other options, seasonal weather forecasts and the use of cultivars that are better adapted to local climate and climate variability have been discussed as two potential supporting measures to assist farmer adaptation to climatic variability ...
Samuel Elias Kayamo, Christian Troost, Habtamu Yismaw, Thomas Berger   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source