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Recent advances in seasonal and multi-annual tropical cyclone forecasting
Seasonal tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting has evolved substantially since its commencement in the early 1980s. However, present operational seasonal TC forecasting services still do not meet the requirements of society and stakeholders: current ...
Yuhei Takaya +22 more
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Seasonal Forecasting of the Onset of the Rainy Season in West Africa [PDF]
Seasonal forecasts for monsoonal rainfall characteristics like the onset of the rainy seasons (ORS) are crucial for national weather services in semi-arid regions to better support decision-making in rain-fed agriculture.
Manuel Rauch +5 more
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Forecasting with Multiple Seasonality [PDF]
An emerging number of modern applications involve forecasting time series data that exhibit both short-time dynamics and long-time seasonality. Specifically, time series with multiple seasonality is a difficult task with comparatively fewer discussions.
Tianyang Xie, Jie Ding 0002
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Long-term wind power forecasting is a challenging endeavor that requires predictions that span years into the future. Accurate forecasting is crucial for optimizing energy production, grid integration, maintenance scheduling, and financial planning. This
Kuen-Suan Chen +4 more
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Forecasting and seasonality [PDF]
Seasonal fluctuations account for a major part in the variation in the growth rates of most quarterly and monthly business and economic time series. In order to make inferences on the nature of business cycles and long-run growth, the ‘traditional’ ap- proach is to remove the seasonal component of a series through the use of deterministic dummies ...
de Gooijer, J.G., Franses, P.H.
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Ocean primary productivity generated by phytoplankton is critical for ocean ecosystems and the global carbon cycle. Accurate ocean primary productivity forecasting months in advance is beneficial for marine management.
Lei Xu +5 more
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On the reliability of seasonal climate forecasts [PDF]
Seasonal climate forecasts are being used increasingly across a range of application sectors. A recent UK governmental report asked: how good are seasonal forecasts on a scale of 1–5 (where 5 is very good), and how good can we expect them to be in 30 years time?
Weisheimer, Antje, Palmer, T.N.
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Seasonal discharge forecasting for the Upper Danube
Study Region: The authors contributed with a seasonal forecast system for discharge in the case study area of the Upper Danube basin upstream of Vienna. The basin, with a drainage area of approx.
Ignacio Martin Santos +2 more
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FORECASTING OF CURRENCY CIRCULATION IN INDONESIA USING HYBRID EXTREME LEARNING MACHINE
Forecasting currency circulation, including inflow and outflow, is one of Bank Indonesia's strategies to maintain the Rupiah value's stability. The characteristic of inflow and outflow data is that they have seasonal variations.
Mujiati Dwi Kartikasari
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