Results 21 to 30 of about 1,024,956 (306)
The prospects for seasonal forecasting - A review paper
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1994 AbstractThe evidence for predictability of interannual fluctuations in the atmosphere and oceans is reviewed. The more linear nature of tropical dynamics is contrasted with the chaotic nature of extratropical circulations. The role of the largest interannual fluctuation, the El Niño Southern Oscillation, which has its origins in the tropical Pacific ...
Palmer, T, Anderson, D
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Probabilistic spatiotemporal seasonal sea ice presence forecasting using sequence-to-sequence learning and ERA5 data in the Hudson Bay region [PDF]
The Cryosphere, 2022 Accurate and timely forecasts of sea ice conditions are crucial for safe shipping operations in the Canadian Arctic and other ice-infested waters. Given the recent declining trend of Arctic sea ice extent in past decades, seasonal forecasts are often ...
N. Asadi +5 more
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Seasonal Adjustment and Forecasting in the Presence of Trend [PDF]
The Computer Journal, 1967 A general linear statistical model for simultaneous seasonal adjustment and trend estimation is considered for one and two term deterministic trend functions. Explicit estimates of the parameters and variances are derived in a convenient computational form from which the properties of these estimates become apparent. In connection with possible uses of
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Better seasonal forecasts for the renewable energy industry [PDF]
, 2020 Anomalous seasons such as extremely cold winters or low-wind summers can seriously disrupt renewable energy productivity and reliability. Better seasonal forecasts providing more accurate information tailored to stakeholder needs can help the renewable ...
Orlov, Anton +5 more
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ForecastingThis study proposes a Generalized Bayesian Structural Time Series (GBSTS) framework for forecasting seasonal time series with sparse observations. Rather than introducing new state-space components, the proposed framework systematically integrates ...
Autcha Araveeporn
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Barekeng, 2021 Bali Island of the Gods is one of the wealth of very popular tourist destinations and has the highest number of foreign tourists in Indonesia. It is very necessary to do more in-depth learning related to the projections or forecasting of foreign tourist ...
Bayu Galih Prianda, Edy Widodo
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Seasonal Prior-Guided Dynamic Forecasting of Nonstationary Gridded PM2.5 Concentrations in China
Remote SensingAccurate and timely short-term forecasting of gridded PM2.5 concentrations is essential for air-quality management and public health protection, especially for the growing elderly population who are particularly vulnerable to air pollution.
Haoze Shi +7 more
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Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, 2019 Introduction: Studies have shown periodic variations in the number of births using different mathematical models. A study conducted at the Korle-Bu teaching hospital obtained Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model on a monthly ...
George Aryee +3 more
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Seasonal dynamic factor analysis and bootstrap inference : application to electricity market forecasting [PDF]
, 2008 Year-ahead forecasting of electricity prices is an important issue in the current context of electricity markets. Nevertheless, only one-day-ahead forecasting is commonly tackled up in previous published works.
Andrés M. Alonso +8 more
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Seasonal Asian Dust Forecasting Using GloSea5-ADAM
Atmosphere, 2020 The springtime dust events in Northeast Asia pose many economic, social, and health-related risks. Statistical models in the forecasting of seasonal dust events do not fully account for environmental variations in dust sources due to climate change.
Sang-Boom Ryoo +2 more
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