Results 1 to 10 of about 13,765 (166)
Global seasonal forecasts of marine heatwaves. [PDF]
Nature, 2022 AbstractMarine heatwaves (MHWs)—periods of exceptionally warm ocean temperature lasting weeks to years—are now widely recognized for their capacity to disrupt marine ecosystems1–3. The substantial ecological and socioeconomic impacts of these extreme events present significant challenges to marine resource managers4–7, who would benefit from ...
Jacox MG +8 more
europepmc +5 more sources
On the Reliability of Seasonal Climate Forecasts [PDF]
Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 2014 Seasonal climate forecasts are being used increasingly across a range of application sectors. A recent UK governmental report asked: how good are seasonal forecasts on a scale of 1–5 (where 5 is very good), and how good can we expect them to be in 30 years time?
Tim Palmer, Antje Weisheimer
exaly +4 more sources
Climate Services, 2017 This study aims to assess the economic benefits of seasonal climate forecasts in West Africa based on a random survey of 354 maize farmers and to use the contingent valuation method.
Cocou Jaurès Amegnaglo +4 more
doaj +3 more sources
Forecasting with Multiple Seasonality [PDF]
2020 IEEE International Conference on Big Data (Big Data), 2020 An emerging number of modern applications involve forecasting time series data that exhibit both short-time dynamics and long-time seasonality. Specifically, time series with multiple seasonality is a difficult task with comparatively fewer discussions.
Tianyang Xie, Jie Ding 0002
openaire +3 more sources
Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2022 Advance warning of seasonal conditions has the potential to assist water management in planning and risk mitigation, with large potential social, economic, and ecological benefits.
L. A. Jackson-Blake +16 more
doaj +1 more source
A Bayesian modelling method for post-processing daily sub-seasonal to seasonal rainfall forecasts from global climate models and evaluation for 12 Australian catchments [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2018 Rainfall forecasts are an integral part of hydrological forecasting systems at sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales. In seasonal forecasting, global climate models (GCMs) are now the go-to source for rainfall forecasts.
A. Schepen +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting and seasonality [PDF]
International Journal of Forecasting, 1997 Seasonal fluctuations account for a major part in the variation in the growth rates of most quarterly and monthly business and economic time series. In order to make inferences on the nature of business cycles and long-run growth, the ‘traditional’ ap- proach is to remove the seasonal component of a series through the use of deterministic dummies ...
de Gooijer, J.G., Franses, P.H.
openaire +3 more sources
Frontiers in Climate, 2021 One major challenge facing farmers and other end users of weather and climate information (WCI) in Kenya is the linkage between their perceptions, needs, and engagements with producers of the information.
Richard Muita +10 more
doaj +1 more source
Bias-adjusted seasonal forecasts of soil moisture for forestry applications in Finland [PDF]
Advances in Science and Research, 2020 Seasonal forecasts for forestry have been developed in the Finnish Meteorological Institute in cooperation with Finnish end-users. Such forecasts could help forest companies in preparing for adverse conditions of timber harvesting operations ...
O. Hyvärinen, A. Venäläinen, A. Vajda
doaj +1 more source
Downscaling of seasonal soil moisture forecasts using satellite data [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2014 A new approach to downscaling soil moisture forecasts from the seasonal ensemble prediction forecasting system of the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) is presented in this study.
S. Schneider +2 more
doaj +1 more source