Results 11 to 20 of about 779,072 (303)
Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2016 Meteorological centres make sustained efforts to provide seasonal forecasts that are increasingly skilful, which has the potential to benefit streamflow forecasting.
L. Crochemore +2 more
doaj +3 more sources
Global meteorological drought – Part 2: Seasonal forecasts [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2014 Global seasonal forecasts of meteorological drought using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) are produced using two data sets as initial conditions: the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) and the European Centre for Medium-Range ...
E. Dutra +8 more
doaj +3 more sources
Ocean Initialization for Seasonal Forecasts [PDF]
Oceanography, 2009 Several operational centers routinely issue seasonal forecasts of Earth’s climate using coupled ocean-atmosphere models, which require near-real-time knowledge of the state of the global ocean.
Magdalena A. Balmaseda +10 more
doaj +2 more sources
Reconstructing climate trends adds skills to seasonal reference crop evapotranspiration forecasting [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2022 Evapotranspiration plays an important role in the terrestrial water cycle. Reference crop evapotranspiration (ETo) has been widely used to estimate water transfer from vegetation surface to the atmosphere.
Q. Yang +5 more
doaj +1 more source
Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2018 This paper considers whether there is any added value in using seasonal climate forecasts instead of historical meteorological observations for forecasting streamflow on seasonal timescales over Europe. A Europe-wide analysis of the skill of the newly
L. Arnal +13 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza [PDF]
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2012 Influenza recurs seasonally in temperate regions of the world; however, our ability to predict the timing, duration, and magnitude of local seasonal outbreaks of influenza remains limited. Here we develop a framework for initializing real-time forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks, using a data assimilation technique commonly applied in numerical ...
Jeffrey, Shaman, Alicia, Karspeck
openaire +2 more sources
Seasonal local rainfall and hydrological forecasting for Limpopo communities – A pragmatic approach
Climate Services, 2022 This paper describes the development and testing of a simple local seasonal forecast system of rainfall and hydrological conditions. The primary target group is agricultural extension officers who communicate forecasts to small-scale farmers at local ...
L. Phil Graham +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Underpredicted ENSO Teleconnections in Seasonal Forecasts
Geophysical Research Letters, 2023 The El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences climate variability across the globe. ENSO is highly predictable on seasonal timescales and therefore its teleconnections are a source of extratropical forecast skill.
N. C. Williams +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Better seasonal forecasts for the renewable energy industry [PDF]
, 2020 Anomalous seasons such as extremely cold winters or low-wind summers can seriously disrupt renewable energy productivity and reliability. Better seasonal forecasts providing more accurate information tailored to stakeholder needs can help the renewable ...
Orlov, Anton +5 more
core +1 more source
A national-scale seasonal hydrological forecast system: development and evaluation over Britain [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2017 Skilful winter seasonal predictions for the North Atlantic circulation and northern Europe have now been demonstrated and the potential for seasonal hydrological forecasting in the UK is now being explored.
V. A. Bell +6 more
doaj +1 more source