Results 11 to 20 of about 1,024,956 (306)

Improved Skills for Predicting Sub‐Seasonal to Seasonal Global Sea Surface Temperature [PDF]

open access: yesAdvanced Science, EarlyView.
Addressing the critical Sub‐seasonal to Seasonal predictability gap, this study presents CAS‐Canglong, a novel deep learning framework. By leveraging 3D Swin‐Transformers to capture long‐range ocean interactions, the model demonstrates superior skill over traditional GCMs.
Longhao Wang   +6 more
wiley   +2 more sources

Modelling Deterministic Seasonality with Artificial Neural Networks for Time Series Forecasting [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
This study explores both from a theoretical and empirical perspective how to model deterministic seasonality with artificial neural networks (ANN) to achieve the best forecasting accuracy.
Crone, S, Kourentzes, N
core   +4 more sources

Forecasting seasonal outbreaks of influenza [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2012
Influenza recurs seasonally in temperate regions of the world; however, our ability to predict the timing, duration, and magnitude of local seasonal outbreaks of influenza remains limited. Here we develop a framework for initializing real-time forecasts of seasonal influenza outbreaks, using a data assimilation technique commonly applied in numerical ...
Jeffrey, Shaman, Alicia, Karspeck
openaire   +2 more sources

Hybrid Deep Learning and S2S Model for Improved Sub-Seasonal Surface and Root-Zone Soil Moisture Forecasting

open access: yesRemote Sensing, 2023
Surface soil moisture (SSM) and root-zone soil moisture (RZSM) are key hydrological variables for the agricultural water cycle and vegetation growth.
Lei Xu   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes

open access: yesWeather and Climate Extremes, 2015
Dynamical models are now widely used to provide forecasts of above or below average seasonal mean temperatures and precipitation, with growing interest in their ability to forecast climate extremes on a seasonal time scale.
Acacia S. Pepler   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Short-term load forecasting in smart meters with sliding window-based ARIMA algorithms

open access: yesVietnam Journal of Computer Science, 2018
Forecasting of electricity consumption for residential and industrial customers is an important task providing intelligence to the smart grid. Accurate forecasting should allow a utility provider to plan the resources as well as to take control actions ...
Dima Alberg, Mark Last
doaj   +1 more source

A Seasonal Model Using Optimized Multi-Layer Neural Networks to Forecast Power Output of PV Plants

open access: yesEnergies, 2018
With the continuous increase of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity and the urgent demand of synergetic utilization with the other power generation forms, the high-precision prediction of PV power generation is increasingly important for ...
Yang Hu   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? [PDF]

open access: yesHydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2018
This paper considers whether there is any added value in using seasonal climate forecasts instead of historical meteorological observations for forecasting streamflow on seasonal timescales over Europe. A Europe-wide analysis of the skill of the newly
L. Arnal   +13 more
doaj   +1 more source

Sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off seasonal forecasting tools [PDF]

open access: yesHydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2023
Despite high potential benefits, the development of seasonal forecasting tools in the water sector has been slower than in other sectors. Here we assess the skill of seasonal forecasting tools for lakes and reservoirs set up at four sites in Australia ...
F. Clayer   +19 more
doaj   +1 more source

Model evaluation for seasonal forecasting over southern Africa [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
Includes bibliographical references.This study contributes to a broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa.
Browne, Nana Ama Kum
core   +1 more source

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