Results 91 to 100 of about 327,440 (196)

Forecasting Time-Series with Correlated Seasonality [PDF]

A new approach is proposed for forecasting a time series with multiple seasonal patterns. A state space model is developed for the series using the single source of error approach which enables us to develop explicit models for both additive and ...
Anne B. Koehler, Farshid Vahid-Araghi, J. Keith Ord, Phillip Gould, Ralph D. Snyder, Rob J. Hyndman   +5 more
core  

Skillful seasonal prediction of wind energy resources in the contiguous United States

Communications Earth & Environment
A key challenge with the wind energy utilization is that winds, and thus wind power, are highly variable on seasonal to interannual timescales because of atmospheric variability.
Xiaosong Yang, Thomas L. Delworth, Liwei Jia, Nathaniel C. Johnson, Feiyu Lu, Colleen McHugh   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Exponential Smoothing Model Selection for Forecasting [PDF]

Applications of exponential smoothing to forecast time series usually rely on three basic methods: simple exponential smoothing, trend corrected exponential smoothing and a seasonal variation thereof. A common approach to select the method appropriate to
Anne B Koehler, Baki Billah, Maxwell L King, Ralph D Snyder   +3 more
core  

Scientists Predict Active Hurricane Season

Eos, 2017
A combination of warm sea surface temperatures and a weak or absent El Niño may create conditions conducive to tropical storm formation.
openaire   +1 more source

Ensemble techniques for seasonal prediction

, 1995
The role that ensemble techniques can play in estimating the predictability of seasonal forecasts is addressed here through a series of questions. Within this discussion we will consider the specific role that adjoint techniques can play in seasonal predictability studies.
Palmer, T.N., Battisti, D., Branković, Č., Buizza, R., Chen, Y.-Q., Sperber, K.   +5 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Evaluation of Seasonal Prediction of Extreme Wind Resource Potential over China Based on a Dynamic Prediction System SIDRI-ESS V1.0

Atmosphere
Wind resources play a pivotal role in building sustainable energy systems, crucial for mitigating and adapting to climate change. With the increasing frequency of extreme events under global warming, effective prediction of extreme wind resource ...
Zixiang Yan, Jinxiao Li, Wen Zhou, Zouxing Lin, Yuxin Zang, Siyuan Li   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

Ensemble seasonal forecasting of typhoon frequency over the western North Pacific using multiple machine learning algorithms

Environmental Research Letters
This study introduces an ensemble prediction methodology employing multiple machine learning algorithms for forecasting the frequency of typhoons (TYFs) over the western North Pacific (WNP) during June‒November.
Zhixiang Xiao, Ziqian Wang, Xiaoli Luo, Cai Yao   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Seasonal Prediction of Omicron Pandemic

, 2022
Huang J, Zhao Y, Zhang L, Li X, Gao S, Song X.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Seasonal prediction of Indian wintertime aerosol pollution using the ocean memory effect. [PDF]

Sci Adv, 2019
Gao M, Sherman P, Song S, Yu Y, Wu Z, McElroy MB.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Boosting Thailand’s palm oil yield with advanced seasonal predictions

Environmental Research Letters, 2023
Parichart Promchote, Binod Pokharel, Liping Deng, Shih-Yu Simon Wang, Jin-Ho Yoon, Piya Kittipadakul   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source