PREDIKSI HUJAN BULANAN MENGGUNAKAN ADAPTIVE STATISTICAL DOWNSCALING
Permasalahan pada prediksi hujan bulanan menggunakan Global Circulation Model (GCM) adalah resolusi yang rendah sehingga tidak dapat memberikan informasi yang rinci sampai tingkat regional. Permasalahan lain adalah akurasi prediksi yang rendah yang disebabkan pola curah hujan yang non linier dan non stasioner.
Agus Safril +3 more
openaire +2 more sources
Implementing potential climate‐smart practices through diverse partnerships
Climate change is one of the greatest threats to society, negatively impacting agriculture and crop yields. Globally, agriculture is also one of the largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitting sectors. Climate‐smart practices that are developed through diverse partnerships with scientists and practitioners are needed to decrease GHG emissions. We implemented
Kristina J. Bartowitz +6 more
wiley +1 more source
Spatial‐statistical downscaling with uncertainty quantification in biodiversity modelling
Accurate downscaling with uncertainty quantification and its inclusion in fitting biodiversity models to data are essential for accurate, valid inferences and predictions.
Xiaotian Zheng +4 more
doaj +1 more source
Thin Fluoride Insulators for Improved 2D Transistors: From Deposition Methods to Recent Applications
2D materials hold significant promise for next‐generation electronic and optoelectronic devices, but suitable gate dielectrics are still a challenge. Fluoride insulators, offering inert, dangling‐bond‐free surfaces, have recently emerged as strong candidates. This review covers recent publications on high‐quality fluoride thin‐film deposition and their
Behzad Dadashnia +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Possible climate change impacts on water resources availability in a large semi-arid catchment in Northeast Brazil. [PDF]
The semiarid region of Northeast Brazil is characterized by water scarcity, vulnerability of natural resources, and pronounced climatic variability. An integrated model has been developed to simulate this complex situation with an emphasis on a large ...
Araújo, José Carlos de +4 more
core +1 more source
When tiny convective spread affects a midlatitude jet: Spread sequence
We investigate spread evolution by mesoscale convection from tiny initial condition uncertainty during a real event. There is significant variation among the systems in their propensity to interact with the jet stream, whereby variability in one system (due to convective and long‐wave radiative heating tendencies) tightly relates to Rossby‐like ...
Edward Groot, Michael Riemer
wiley +1 more source
Fuzzy postprocessing of seasonal climate forecasts for semiarid river basins
Meteorological forecasts from AI‐based fuzzy rule‐based system (FRB) are compared to linear scaling (LS) and quantile mapping (QM). Seasonal forecasts from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) are considered. Results show that the highest skill is achieved for the FRB approach.
Dariana Isamel Avila‐Velasquez +2 more
wiley +1 more source
An objective Bayesian method for including parameter uncertainty in ensemble model output statistics
Conventional model output statistics and ensemble model output statistics methods for calibrating ensemble forecasts lead to severe underestimation of the probabilities of ensemble extremes (in blue). This is because they ignore statistical parameter uncertainty.
Stephen Jewson +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Diffusion model-based probabilistic downscaling for 180-year East Asian climate reconstruction
As our planet is entering into the “global boiling” era, understanding regional climate change becomes imperative. Effective downscaling methods that provide localized insights are crucial for this target.
Fenghua Ling +8 more
doaj +1 more source
Quantifying driving ensemble influence on operational convection‐permitting ensemble spread
By comparing statistics of precipitation patterns between a convection‐permitting ensemble and the global ensemble used to drive it, we investigate the conditions under which the convection‐permitting ensemble diverges from the evolution of the driving ensemble.
Adam Gainford +4 more
wiley +1 more source

