Results 51 to 60 of about 392,335 (195)

Epidemiological models, parameters, and prediction of the COVID-19 outbreak in a southwest Georgia hotspot

open access: yesJournal of the Georgia Public Health Association, 2022
Background: We investigate epidemiological models, their parameters, and the models’ predictive performance of daily new cases during the first three weeks of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a southwest Georgia hotspot.
Daniel F. Linder   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Stochastic modeling, analysis, and simulation of the COVID-19 pandemic with explicit behavioral changes in Bogotá: A case study

open access: yesInfectious Disease Modelling, 2022
In this paper, a stochastic epidemiological model is presented as an extension of a compartmental SEIR model with random perturbations to analyze the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
David Niño-Torres   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

Modelling the Transmission Dynamics of Tuberculosis in the Ashanti Region of Ghana

open access: yesInterdisciplinary Perspectives on Infectious Diseases, 2020
Mathematical models can aid in elucidating the spread of infectious disease dynamics within a given population over time. In an attempt to model tuberculosis (TB) dynamics among high-burden districts in the Ashanti Region of Ghana, the SEIR epidemic ...
Felix Okoe Mettle   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Swarming Computational Procedures for the Coronavirus-Based Mathematical SEIR-NDC Model

open access: yesJournal of Mathematics, 2022
The motive of the current work is related to solving the coronavirus-based mathematical system of susceptible (S), exposed (E), infected (I), recovered (R), overall population (N), civic observation (D), and cumulative performance (C), called as SEIR-NDC.
Suthep Suantai   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Study on a susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered model with nonlinear incidence rate

open access: yesAdvances in Difference Equations, 2020
A stochastic susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model with nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. Under suitable conditions, existence and uniqueness of a global solution, stationary distribution with ergodicity, persistence in the mean ...
Lijun Chen, Fengying Wei
doaj   +1 more source

Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model

open access: yesEpidemics, 2022
Uncertainty quantification is a formal paradigm of statistical estimation that aims to account for all uncertainties inherent in the modelling process of real-world complex systems. The methods are directly applicable to stochastic models in epidemiology,
Michael Dunne   +12 more
doaj   +1 more source

Estimation of parameters for a humidity-dependent compartmental model of the COVID-19 outbreak [PDF]

open access: yesPeerJ, 2021
Building an effective and highly usable epidemiology model presents two main challenges: finding the appropriate, realistic enough model that takes into account complex biological, social and environmental parameters and efficiently estimating the ...
Csaba Farkas   +3 more
doaj   +2 more sources

An approximate diffusion process for environmental stochasticity in infectious disease transmission modelling.

open access: yesPLoS Computational Biology, 2023
Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of transmission, but it is nearly impossible to describe, mechanistically ...
Sanmitra Ghosh   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Dynamics of a Stochastic Epidemic Model with Vaccination and Multiple Time-Delays for COVID-19 in the UAE

open access: yesComplexity, 2022
In this paper, we study the dynamics of COVID-19 in the UAE with an extended SEIR epidemic model with vaccination, time-delays, and random noise. The stationary ergodic distribution of positive solutions is examined, in which the solution fluctuates ...
H. J. Alsakaji, F. A. Rihan, A. Hashish
doaj   +1 more source

EPIGUI: Graphical User Interface for Simulating Epidemics on Networks

open access: yesTrends in Computational and Applied Mathematics, 2023
This paper presents a graphical interface called EPIGUI, which allows the study of the dynamics of an infectious disease spread using compartmental models in combination with complex networks.
E. R. Pinto   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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