Results 51 to 60 of about 392,335 (195)
Background: We investigate epidemiological models, their parameters, and the models’ predictive performance of daily new cases during the first three weeks of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in a southwest Georgia hotspot.
Daniel F. Linder +6 more
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In this paper, a stochastic epidemiological model is presented as an extension of a compartmental SEIR model with random perturbations to analyze the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in the city of Bogotá D.C., Colombia.
David Niño-Torres +4 more
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Modelling the Transmission Dynamics of Tuberculosis in the Ashanti Region of Ghana
Mathematical models can aid in elucidating the spread of infectious disease dynamics within a given population over time. In an attempt to model tuberculosis (TB) dynamics among high-burden districts in the Ashanti Region of Ghana, the SEIR epidemic ...
Felix Okoe Mettle +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Swarming Computational Procedures for the Coronavirus-Based Mathematical SEIR-NDC Model
The motive of the current work is related to solving the coronavirus-based mathematical system of susceptible (S), exposed (E), infected (I), recovered (R), overall population (N), civic observation (D), and cumulative performance (C), called as SEIR-NDC.
Suthep Suantai +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Study on a susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered model with nonlinear incidence rate
A stochastic susceptible–exposed–infected–recovered (SEIR) model with nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. Under suitable conditions, existence and uniqueness of a global solution, stationary distribution with ergodicity, persistence in the mean ...
Lijun Chen, Fengying Wei
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Complex model calibration through emulation, a worked example for a stochastic epidemic model
Uncertainty quantification is a formal paradigm of statistical estimation that aims to account for all uncertainties inherent in the modelling process of real-world complex systems. The methods are directly applicable to stochastic models in epidemiology,
Michael Dunne +12 more
doaj +1 more source
Estimation of parameters for a humidity-dependent compartmental model of the COVID-19 outbreak [PDF]
Building an effective and highly usable epidemiology model presents two main challenges: finding the appropriate, realistic enough model that takes into account complex biological, social and environmental parameters and efficiently estimating the ...
Csaba Farkas +3 more
doaj +2 more sources
Modelling the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease is a complex task. Not only it is difficult to accurately model the inherent non-stationarity and heterogeneity of transmission, but it is nearly impossible to describe, mechanistically ...
Sanmitra Ghosh +2 more
doaj +1 more source
In this paper, we study the dynamics of COVID-19 in the UAE with an extended SEIR epidemic model with vaccination, time-delays, and random noise. The stationary ergodic distribution of positive solutions is examined, in which the solution fluctuates ...
H. J. Alsakaji, F. A. Rihan, A. Hashish
doaj +1 more source
EPIGUI: Graphical User Interface for Simulating Epidemics on Networks
This paper presents a graphical interface called EPIGUI, which allows the study of the dynamics of an infectious disease spread using compartmental models in combination with complex networks.
E. R. Pinto +3 more
doaj +1 more source

