AbstractHere we explore the stratospheric influence on the predictability of Eurasian cold‐spell events using the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble hindcasts obtained from the Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) archive. To isolate the stratospheric influence, we subsampled two groups of hindcasts according to the strength ...
Matti Kämäräinen +2 more
exaly +2 more sources
Global Warming and Mass Extinctions Associated With Large Igneous Province Volcanism
Exploring the links between Large Igneous Provinces and dramatic environmental impact
An emerging consensus suggests that Large Igneous Provinces (LIPs) and Silicic LIPs (SLIPs) are a significant driver of dramatic global environmental and biological changes, including mass extinctions.
David P. G. Bond, Yadong Sun
wiley +5 more sources
How do different pathways connect the stratospheric polar vortex to its tropospheric precursors? [PDF]
Processes involving troposphere–stratosphere coupling have been identified as important contributors to an improved subseasonal to seasonal prediction in the mid-latitudes.
R. H. Köhler, R. Jaiser, D. Handorf
doaj +1 more source
The stratosphere: a review of the dynamics and variability [PDF]
Large-scale, intra-seasonal to inter-annual variability of the stratosphere is reviewed. Much of the variability is dynamical and induced by waves emanating from the troposphere.
N. Butchart
doaj +1 more source
How do gravity waves triggered by a typhoon propagate from the troposphere to the upper atmosphere? [PDF]
Gravity waves (GWs) strongly affect atmospheric dynamics and photochemistry and the coupling between the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, and thermosphere. In addition, GWs generated by strong disturbances in the troposphere (e.g. thunderstorms and
Q. Li +7 more
doaj +1 more source
Recent studies have suggested that deep Arctic warming, extending from the surface to the upper troposphere, could trigger mid-latitude atmospheric circulation changes, while shallow Arctic warming, confined in the lowermost troposphere, induces ...
Mian Xu +5 more
doaj +1 more source
On the Role of Radiative Processes in Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling [PDF]
Abstract Climate change in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) polar stratosphere is associated with substantial changes in the atmospheric circulation that extend to the earth’s surface. The mechanisms that drive the changes in the SH troposphere are not fully understood, but most previous hypotheses have focused on the role of atmospheric ...
Grise, Kevin M. +2 more
openaire +3 more sources
Hyperchaos from a Model of Coupled Stratosphere-Troposphere Dynamics [PDF]
We present a six-dimensional system describing coupled troposphere-stratosphere dynamics which takes the form of two coupled Lorenz-84 systems (one for each of the troposphere and stratosphere) involving thermal forcing terms. The systems are coupled through a linear interaction term, which permits energy transfer between both troposphere and ...
Susheel Adusumilli, Robert A. Van Gorder
openaire +2 more sources
Stratosphere–Troposphere Coupling in the Southern Hemisphere [PDF]
AbstractThis study examines the temporal evolution of the tropospheric circulation following large-amplitude variations in the strength of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) stratospheric polar vortex in data from 1979 to 2001 and following the SH sudden stratospheric warming of 2002.
Thompson, David W. J. +2 more
openaire +2 more sources
Stratospheric Nudging And Predictable Surface Impacts (SNAPSI): a protocol for investigating the role of stratospheric polar vortex disturbances in subseasonal to seasonal forecasts [PDF]
Major disruptions of the winter season, high-latitude stratospheric polar vortices can result in stratospheric anomalies that persist for months. These sudden stratospheric warming events are recognized as an important potential source of forecast skill ...
P. Hitchcock +28 more
doaj +1 more source

