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Forecasting the number of sunspots for solar cycle 25 utilizing the facebook prophet model [PDF]
Scientific ReportsThe solar cycle, also referred to as the solar magnetic activity cycle, represents a nearly periodic change in solar activity occurring approximately every 11 years, as evidenced by the observation of sunspot numbers.
H. I. Abdel Rahman, W. A. Badawy
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Prediction of even and odd sunspot cycles
Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2023 Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well-described by ...
Asikainen Timo, Mantere Jani
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Deciphering solar magnetic activity: The (solar) hale cycle terminator of 2021
Frontiers in Astronomy and Space Sciences, 2023 We previously identified an event in the solar timeline that appeared to play a role in how sunspot Cycle 23 (SC23) transitioned into sunspot Cycle 24 (SC24). The timeframe for this transition was rapid, taking place over a very short time and perhaps in
Scott W. McIntosh +3 more
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Fractal Dimension and Maximum Sunspot Number in Solar Cycle [PDF]
Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences, 2006 The fractal dimension is a quantitative parameter describing the characteristics of irregular time series. In this study, we use this parameter to analyze the irregular aspects of solar activity and to predict the maximum sunspot number in the following ...
R.-S. Kim +4 more
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Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 2023 On a centennial timescale, solar activity oscillates quasi-periodically and also tends to occasionally get into a low-activity period. The Dalton Minimum (circa 1790s–1820s) was one of such low-activity periods that had been captured in telescopic ...
Hayakawa Hisashi +3 more
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Relative Sunspot Number Observed from 2002 to 2011 at ButterStar Observatory [PDF]
Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences, 2012 The ButterStar Observatory at the Dongducheon High School has been working for photographic observations of the Sun since October 16, 2002. In this study, we observed the Sun at the ButterStar observatory for 3,364 days from October 16, 2002 to December ...
Sung-Jin Oh, Heon-Young Chang
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A Unified Shape Model For Sunspot Number Cycles
Ratio Mathematica, 2021 Modelling and prediction of sunspot number time series is an unavoidable activity in the space object re-entry prediction community. Different mathematical functions have been proposed in the literature as sunspot number cycle model, since the McNish ...
GP Beena, A Sabarinath, AK Anilkumar
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Solar Cycle 25 Prediction Using N-BEATS
The Astrophysical Journal, 2023 Solar activities lead to Sun variation with an 11 yr periodicity. The periodic variation affects space weather and heliophysics research. So it is important to accurately predict solar cycle variations. In this paper, we predicted the ongoing Solar Cycle
Xu Su +4 more
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"Danjon Effect", Solar-Triggered Volcanic Activity, and Relation to Climate Change
Russian Journal of Earth Sciences, 2022 The “Danjon effect” is a phenomenon that presents a tendency to concentrate the so-called “dark” total lunar eclipses (DTLE) near solar sunspot cycle minimum phases.
Komitov Boris, Kaftan Vladimir
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Ratio Mathematica, 2020 The 11 year sunspot number cycle has been a fascinating phenomenon for many scientists in the last three centuries. Various mathematical functions have been used for modelling the 11 year sunspot number cycles.
Amaranathan Sabarinath +2 more
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