Results 51 to 60 of about 1,866 (186)
Financial Fragility and the Fiscal Multiplier
Abstract We show that undercapitalized banks with large holdings of government bonds subject to sovereign default risk lead to a new crowding‐out channel: deficit‐financed fiscal stimuli lead to higher bond yields, triggering capital losses for the banks. Banks then cut back loans, which reduces fiscal multipliers.
CHRISTIAAN VAN DER KWAAK +1 more
wiley +1 more source
The Incidence of Dutch Disease in the Agriculture Sector of Iran 1367-1386 [PDF]
This paper examines the incidence of Dutch Disease symptoms in the agriculture sector of Iran, by applying SVAR modeling to quarterly data of twenty years span, from1367-1386 our findings do not reveal any significant relation between oil prices, and ...
Javid Bahrami, Maryam Farshchi
doaj
This paper is aimed at filling the gap in existing economic research by delivering new evidence on the money‑labour nexus in the emerging markets of the non‑eurozone Visegrad group countries (i.e. Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland).
Przemysław Włodarczyk
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Macroprudential Policy in the Euro Area
Abstract This paper examines the development and impact of macroprudential policies in the euro area. We construct a novel index that captures the stance of macroprudential policy, and we highlight its main stylized facts since the inception of the euro in 1999. We combine a narrative approach and a structural VAR method to show that both unanticipated
ÁLVARO FERNÁNDEZ‐GALLARDO +1 more
wiley +1 more source
Mixing It Up: Inflation at Risk
Abstract Understanding how risk factors shape the economic outlook is essential for guiding policy decisions. This paper develops a flexible framework that decomposes distributional risk forecasts of macro‐economic variables into underlying contributions and supports the construction of interpretable risk measures.
MAXIMILIAN SCHRÖDER
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT The post‐pandemic inflationary spike brought inflation back to the forefront of academic research. In the debate about the origin and nature of the 2020s inflation, economists have been divided into the following two main camps: the demand‐pull camp, which attributed inflation to excess demand and linked it to fiscal and monetary stimulus put ...
Vicente Ferreira
wiley +1 more source
ABSTRACT The paper examines the macroeconomic effects of public investment in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). To this end the analysis develops a new measure of public investment shocks based on cyclically adjusted government investment.
Amat Adarov +2 more
wiley +1 more source
What Are The Drivers of Labor Productivity in Italy?
ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel sign restriction identification within a structural Bayesian vector autoregression (VAR) to analyse how labour productivity responds to supply and demand shocks and to quantify the contribution of shocks to cyclical fluctuations.
Josué Diwambuena, Francesco Ravazzolo
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Is There an Information Channel of Monetary Policy?
ABSTRACT Exploiting the heteroskedasticity of the changes in short‐term and long‐term interest rates and exchange rates around the FOMC announcement, we identify three structural monetary policy shocks. We eliminate the predictable part of the shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables.
Oliver Holtemöller +2 more
wiley +1 more source
African swine fever (ASF) has spread rapidly, substantially disrupting the pork market. In this study, we treat the 2018 ASF outbreak in China as a quasi-natural experiment, using staggered difference-in-differences (DID) and spatial DID methods to ...
Yi Li, Yu Wang, Liling Zhu, Beining Yan
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