Results 101 to 110 of about 12,386 (246)

Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts

open access: yesWeather, Volume 81, Issue 3, Page 82-88, March 2026.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Machine Learning‐Based Forecasting of Ice Water Path for Storm Detection and Tracking Using Geostationary Infrared and Passive Microwave Data

open access: yesEarth and Space Science, Volume 13, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract This study presents a proof of concept for a storm Detection, Delineation, and Tracking (DDT) method based on the vertical integral of condensed water and ice content—namely the Ice Water Path (IWP). Traditional DDT methods rely solely on regularly sampled variables, such as brightness temperatures, which do not directly capture storm ...
Livia J. Leganés   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Characteristics of Negative Cloud‐To‐Ground Lightning Flashes Associated With Their Peak Currents of First Return Strokes

open access: yesEarth and Space Science, Volume 13, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract This study investigates the characteristics of negative cloud‐to‐ground (CG) lightning flashes across varying peak current (PCs) ranges by combining 3D location data from 2,597 negative CG flashes with radar observations. The flashes were classified into five PC bins: −25 kA < PC < 0 kA, −50 kA < PC < −25 kA, −75 kA < PC ≤ −50 kA, −100 kA < PC 
Fei Wang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Global GNSS Observation of Mesoscale Ionospheric Irregularities (2006–2024)

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Volume 131, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract Mesoscale ionospheric irregularities are statistically investigated using an unprecedented 19‐year long‐term global GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite System) TEC (total electron content) data set. These irregularities are represented by ionospheric fluctuations within a 5°× ${}^{\circ}\times $ 3.75° ${}^{\circ}$ (latitude by longitude) region ...
Shun‐Rong Zhang   +7 more
wiley   +1 more source

Analysis of the Charge Structure Accompanied by Hail During the Development Stage of Thunderstorm on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau

open access: yesAtmosphere
The charge structure and lightning activities during the development stage of a thunderstorm with a hail-falling process in Datong County of Qinghai Province on 16 August 2014 were studied by using a multi-station observation network composed of a very ...
Yajun Li, Xiangpeng Fan, Yuxiang Zhao
doaj   +1 more source

Charge separation in thunderstorm conditions [PDF]

open access: hybrid, 2008
Rodolfo G. Pereyra   +2 more
openalex   +1 more source

Machine Learning Emulation of Precipitation From km‐Scale UK Regional Climate Simulations Using a Diffusion Model

open access: yesJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Volume 18, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract High‐resolution climate simulations are valuable for understanding climate change impacts. This has motivated use of regional convection‐permitting climate models (CPMs), but these are very computationally expensive. We present a convection‐permitting model generative emulator (CPMGEM), to skilfully emulate precipitation simulations by a 2.2 ...
Henry Addison   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Precipitation Characteristics and Thermodynamic‐Convection Coupling in Global Kilometer‐Scale Simulations

open access: yesJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Volume 18, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract We compare three global kilometer‐scale models (ICON, IFS and NICAM) to clarify the advantages and challenges of high‐resolution global weather and climate modeling, using different approaches to represent convection, from fully parameterized to fully explicit.
Daisuke Takasuka   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

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