Results 31 to 40 of about 13,606,645 (327)

Demonstrating the value of larger ensembles in forecasting physical systems

open access: yesTellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 2016
Ensemble simulation propagates a collection of initial states forward in time in a Monte Carlo fashion. Depending on the fidelity of the model and the properties of the initial ensemble, the goal of ensemble simulation can range from merely quantifying ...
Reason L. Machete, Leonard A. Smith
doaj   +1 more source

Singular Spectrum Analysis of Tremorograms for Human Neuromotor Reaction Estimation

open access: yesMathematics, 2022
Singular spectrum analysis (SSA) is a method of time series analysis and is used in various fields, including medicine. A tremorogram is a biological signal that allows evaluation of a person’s neuromotor reactions in order to infer the state of the ...
Olga Bureneva   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Assessing pricing assumptions for weather index insurance in a changing climate

open access: yesClimate Risk Management, 2014
Weather index insurance is being offered to low-income farmers in developing countries as an alternative to traditional multi-peril crop insurance. There is widespread support for index insurance as a means of climate change adaptation but whether or not
J.D. Daron, D.A. Stainforth
doaj   +1 more source

Time Series Analysis

open access: yesStatistics for Environmental Science and Management, 2003
In the previous chapter we considered the dependence of a random variable y on a controlled variable t. As in that case we will assume here that y consists of two parts, the true value of the measured quantity η and a measurement error \(\varepsilon\),
S. Brandt
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Escape from model-land

open access: yesEconomics: Journal Articles, 2019
Both mathematical modelling and simulation methods in general have contributed greatly to understanding, insight and forecasting in many fields including macroeconomics.
Thompson Erica L., Smith Leonard A.
doaj   +1 more source

Time-series analysis with smoothed Convolutional Neural Network

open access: yesJournal of Big Data, 2022
CNN originates from image processing and is not commonly known as a forecasting technique in time-series analysis which depends on the quality of input data. One of the methods to improve the quality is by smoothing the data.
Aji Prasetya Wibawa   +5 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Investor Sentiment Measurement and Time Series Analysis [PDF]

open access: yesSHS Web of Conferences, 2023
Investor sentiment is one of the destabilizing factors in the stock market. In the past, some scholars have proposed models for the measurement of emotions. On this basis, this paper selects 9 factors (closed-end fund discount rate, trading volume of the
Bai Yuchen
doaj   +1 more source

Polynomial Regressions and Nonsense Inference

open access: yesEconometrics, 2013
Polynomial specifications are widely used, not only in applied economics, but also in epidemiology, physics, political analysis and psychology, just to mention a few examples.
Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Suicide trends in the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time-series analysis of preliminary data from 21 countries

open access: yesLancet psychiatry, 2021
Background The COVID-19 pandemic is having profound mental health consequences for many people. Concerns have been expressed that, at their most extreme, these consequences could manifest as increased suicide rates. We aimed to assess the early effect of
J. Pirkis   +68 more
semanticscholar   +1 more source

Nonlinear Analysis of Financial Time Series [PDF]

open access: yesOvidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series, 2022
One of the axioms of the modern science states that, if one can identify an exact mathematical description of a physical system, then a very detailed understanding of the system’s properties is possible.
Sorin Vlad, Mariana Vlad
doaj  

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