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Modelling global trade with optimal transport [PDF]
Nature CommunicationsGlobal trade is shaped by a complex mix of factors beyond supply and demand, including tangible variables like transport costs and tariffs, as well as less quantifiable influences such as political and economic relations.
Thomas Gaskin +3 more
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Analysis of the global trade network using exponential random graph models
Applied Network Science, 2022 The global trade network has significant importance in analyzing countries’ economic exchanges. Therefore, studying the global trade network and the factors influencing its structure is helpful for both economists and political decision makers.
Amin Setayesh +2 more
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A GNN-based approach for accurate trade balance forecasting and interpretable analysis. [PDF]
PLoS ONEIn this study, we developed a machine learning pipeline to predict trade balances across 229 countries, utilizing a Graph Neural Network (GNN), and compared it with several deep learning and regression-based models.
Yifei Huang, Zhiyuan He, Cheng Ding
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Trade models in the European Union [PDF]
Ekonomski Anali, 2022 By studying the factors underlying differences in trade performance across European economies, this paper derives six different “trade models” for 22 EU countries and explores their developmental and distributional dynamics. We first introduce a
Gräbner-Radkowitsch Claudius +4 more
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Modification of the Gravity Model of Anderson and van Wincoop for the Analysis of Russian-Belarussian Trade [PDF]
AlterEconomics, 2022 Gravity models are the main mathematical tool for the study of international trade associations, for example, they can be used for the analysis of trade between Russia and Belarus.
Alexander V. Martynenko
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FREE TRADE AGREEMENTS IN THE WORLD TRADE SYSTEM: BENEFITS AND MODELS
Фінансово-кредитна діяльність: проблеми теорії та практики, 2022 It is indicated that one of the characteristic features of the modern trade system is the rapid growth of the number of regional trade agreements, which, in turn, causes asymmetry in the dominance of regional cross-border trade rules over multilateral ...
Тетяна Циганкова +5 more
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Has the euro been fattening the European pig meat trade?
Agricultural Economics (AGRICECON), 2021 The introduction of the euro is one of the great achievements of the European integration process. We ask whether the creation of the euro led to a significant increase in pig meat trade in the eurozone. The pig meat industry is the most important in the
Maria Mercè Clop-Gallart +2 more
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Trade Retaliation in a Monetary-Trade Model [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2009 We explore how outcomes of trade policy retaliation (Nash tariff games) are affected when trade simultaneously takes places geographically across countries and through time via financial intermediation. In such models, deficits and surpluses in goods trade are endogenously determined, and retaliatory trade policy towards goods can affect these and ...
John Whalley, Jun Yu, Shunming Zhang
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Dynamics of Trade-By-Trade Price Movements: Decomposition and Models [PDF]
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2002 In this article we introduce a decomposition of the joint distribution of price changes of assets recorded trade-by-trade. Our decomposition means that we can model the dynamics of price changes using quite simple and interpretable models which are easily extended in a great number of directions, including using durations and volume as explanatory ...
Tina Hviid Rydberg, Neil Shephard
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Algorithmic Trading with Model Uncertainty [PDF]
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, 2017 zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
Álvaro Cartea +2 more
openaire +4 more sources