Results 171 to 180 of about 6,191 (299)

International Meteorological and Hydrological Training and Its Evaluation at WMO RTC Nanjing peer-review under responsibility of [name organizer]

open access: yes, 2012
This paper deals with the international meteorological and hydrological training issue and its evaluation approach based on the teaching practice and experience during last twenty years at World Meteorological Organization Regional Training Centre (WMO ...
Ling Zhang   +4 more
core  

Statistical post‐processing of operational dual‐resolution wind‐speed ensemble forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The performance of raw and post‐processed 50‐member medium‐ and 100‐member extended‐range 10‐m wind‐speed forecasts of the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts and their various dual‐resolution combinations is investigated. Results show that post‐processing improves skill and reduces the differences between the various configurations ...
Sándor Baran, Mária Lakatos
wiley   +1 more source

Forecast‐Error Diagnostics in Neural Weather Models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Deep learning weather prediction models enable efficient forecast‐error diagnostics through auto‐differentiation and low computational cost. We apply grid‐point relaxation and gradient‐based error sensitivity to identify key forecast‐error sources. Results show that medium‐range forecasts in the midlatitudes benefit most from relaxing the stratosphere ...
Uroš Perkan   +2 more
wiley   +1 more source

Epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty quantification in weather and climate models

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties over time on weather and climate time‐scales, estimated through ensembles that sample aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty using Bayesian neural networks for parameterisations in the Lorenz 1996 model. The spread shows the 16th and 84th percentiles.
Laura A. Mansfield   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Entraining CAPE and a simplified instability index for better assessment of environmental conditions of quasi‐stationary linear precipitation systems

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Quasi‐stationary linear precipitation systems (QSLPSs) are a major cause of heavy rainfall in Japan, persisting over the same region for more than five hours. This study demonstrates that entraining convective available potential energy (E‐CAPE), which accounts for environmental air entrainment during parcel ascent, more accurately characterises the ...
Eigo Tochimoto   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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