Results 71 to 80 of about 5,019 (261)

Polar‐low track prediction using machine‐learning methods

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Machine‐learning models are developed to produce reliable and efficient forecasts of polar‐low (PL) trajectories 12 hours ahead. A temporal model (RLSTM) benefiting from the rolling‐forecast strategy, improves overall prediction accuracy and is suitable for quick experimentation, while a spatiotemporal model (PL‐UNet), incorporating both historical and
Ziying Yang   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

How consistently do ensemble prediction systems represent the growth of atmospheric uncertainty?

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Spread‐based diagnostics calculated for 12 ensemble prediction systems are compared to understand the consistency with which they represent atmospheric uncertainty growth. Good correlation between all these systems is found in the extratropics for a lead time range from 48 hr to between 96 hr and 192 hr.
Douglas Wood   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Aerosol composition of the tropical upper troposphere [PDF]

open access: yesAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2009
Aerosol composition was measured by the NOAA single-particle mass spectrometer (PALMS) aboard the NASA WB-57 high altitude aircraft platform during two Aura Validation Experiment (AVE) campaigns based in Costa Rica in 2004 and 2006. These studies yielded
K. D. Froyd   +6 more
doaj  

Stronger zonal convective clustering associated with a wider tropical rain belt

open access: yesNature Communications, 2019
How the spatial patterns of deep convection affect the large-scale dynamics of the atmosphere remains an open question. Here, it is shown that if convection along the equator is clustered, the tropical rain belt widens and exhibits a double peak ...
Max Popp, Sandrine Bony
doaj   +1 more source

The Anatomy of a Continental Tropical Convective Storm

open access: yesJournal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 2003
Abstract This study provides a very clear picture of the microphysics and flow field in a convective storm in the Rondonia region of Brazil through a synthesis of observations from two unique radars, measurements of the surface drop size distribution (DSD), and particle types and sizes from an aircraft penetration.
David Atlas, Christopher R. Williams
openaire   +1 more source

A new method to identify and explain sources of precipitation modification, illustrated for the western Netherlands

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This study develops a method to identify the source areas of precipitation events, as illustrated for the western part of the Netherlands. Radar‐based precipitation data are traced back to their source areas and machine‐learning techniques are used to identify hypothesized causes: urban heat, surface roughness, and air pollution. We find that urban and
Jelmer van der Graaff   +1 more
wiley   +1 more source

Intensity dependence of El Niño and La Niña evolution and mixed‐layer heat‐budget processes

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) intensity modulates the spatial, temporal, and dynamical evolution of events strongly. El Niño SST anomalies shift westward with decreasing intensity, while La Niña anomalies remain spatially fixed. Stronger events initiate earlier and persist longer than weak events.
Parya Adibi   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

An Analysis of Tropical Cold-Point Tropopause Warming in 1999

open access: yesAdvances in Meteorology, 2017
Using reanalysis datasets, the warming of the tropical tropopause in 1999 and its evolution are investigated. It is found that there is a strong rate of increase in tropical cold-point tropopause temperature (CPTT) in June 1999, with negative CPTT ...
Yuanyuan Han   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

A Moist Physics Parameterization Based on Deep Learning

open access: yesJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2020
Current moist physics parameterization schemes in general circulation models (GCMs) are the main source of biases in simulated precipitation and atmospheric circulation.
Yilun Han   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Radiative effects of convection in the tropical Pacific

open access: yesJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 1996
The radiative effects of tropical clouds at the tropopause and the ocean surface have been estimated by using in situ measurements from the Central Equatorial Pacific Experiment (CEPEX). The effect of clouds is distinguished from the radiative effects of the surrounding atmosphere by calculating the shortwave and longwave cloud forcing.
Collins, W.   +5 more
openaire   +2 more sources

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