Results 151 to 160 of about 85,801 (284)

Compound Climate Events and Cascading Impacts in the IPCC AR6: Analysis of Gaps and Avenues for the AR7

open access: yesWIREs Climate Change, Volume 17, Issue 2, March/April 2026.
The analysis of the IPCC AR6 WGI (2021) and WGII (2022) reports reveals that compound weather and climate events and risks (CE) mainly affect Oceania and Africa, and that the cascading impacts (CI) of climate change are particularly severe in the Arctic. Coastal and urban areas are the most cited archetypes in regard to CE and CI in these reports.
Virginie K. E. Duvat
wiley   +1 more source

Probability forecasts – Part 1: ensembles and probabilistic forecasts

open access: yesWeather, Volume 81, Issue 3, Page 82-88, March 2026.
Ensemble weather forecasts have been in use for many years to help forecasters understand uncertainty in weather predictions but are now becoming core to some operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) systems. Ensembles offer greater predictive skill and information content than deterministic forecasts but are more complex to interpret and ...
Ken Mylne
wiley   +1 more source

Effectiveness of Ecosystem‐Based Coastal Defenses Against Flooding

open access: yesEarth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract Coastal flooding is growing substantially as storms increase and sea levels rise rapidly due to climate change. It is therefore important to find safe and sustainable ways to protect coastal communities against this growing risk. However, the effectiveness of traditional coastal defenses (hard seawalls) (HS) is being questioned due to concerns
Zhijun Dai, Min Zhang, Stephen E. Darby
wiley   +1 more source

Urban Shrinkage and Surface Urban Heat Islands: Does Population Decline Lead to Cooling? A Spatiotemporal Analysis of China's 89 Shrinking Cities (2001–2019)

open access: yesEarth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract Numerous studies have examined how urban expansion exacerbates Surface Urban Heat Island intensity (SUHII), yet limited attention has been paid to whether and how urban shrinkage mitigates SUHII. This study employed multiple models to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution of surface urban heat island (SUHI) and its driving factors in 89 ...
Haojian Deng   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Projected Changes to Tropical Cyclones in the Southwest Indian Ocean Using High‐Resolution Global Climate Models

open access: yesEarth's Future, Volume 14, Issue 3, March 2026.
Abstract Tropical Cyclones (TCs) affecting southeastern Africa are poorly understood, due to limited focused research and challenges in modeling TCs. Higher resolution climate models have potential to provide more reliable projections. In this paper, we analyze the latest global high‐resolution simulations (“HighResMIP”), to evaluate what these models ...
Daniel Rhys Green   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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