Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Assessing vaccine cold chain storage and transport in Ukraine: a cross-sectional study. [PDF]
Gaievskyi S +8 more
europepmc +1 more source
On the Comovement of Contango and Backwardation Across Futures Commodity Markets
ABSTRACT We examine the time‐varying nature of the comovement of the slope of the futures curve in major agricultural, metals and energy commodity futures markets in a Global Vector Autoregressive model. We find significant comovement between the slopes, indicating the co‐existence of backwardation and contango in many seemingly unrelated commodity ...
Angelo Luisi +2 more
wiley +1 more source
Timing Is Everything: The Effect of Exposure to Pollution on Wildlife Gut Microbiota Is Contingent on Season. [PDF]
Vasylenko A +5 more
europepmc +1 more source
Why Do Hedgers Hedge? The Role of Ambiguity
ABSTRACT This paper investigates whether ambiguity influences hedging behavior in commodity futures markets. Using high‐frequency crude oil futures data, distinct measures of risk and ambiguity are linked to weekly hedging positions from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
Fiona Höllmann
wiley +1 more source
Genetic Modulation of Wound Healing Pathways and Postoperative Risk in Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery: A Cohort Study. [PDF]
Sydorchuk L +9 more
europepmc +1 more source
Unlocking the Future of Insurance: The Power of Open Data, Digital Transformation, and Human Talent
ABSTRACT Despite rapid technological advancement in insurance, there remains a critical gap in understanding how open data initiatives affect employee digital competencies and organizational transformation. This research investigates this relationship through a systematic review of 51 scholarly articles published between 2018 and 2024, using structured
Narongsak Sukma, Siriporn Yamnill
wiley +1 more source
Brain parcellation for TMD neuroimaging: a critical narrative review. [PDF]
Savychuk N +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
The Impact of Geopolitical Risk on Trade Credit
ABSTRACT In light of escalating global geopolitical tensions, understanding how firms respond to external shocks has become a critical issue for policymakers, corporate managers, and investors. This study investigates the impact of geopolitical risk (GPR) on firms' reliance on trade credit (TC)—an essential form of short‐term financing, particularly ...
Wafa'a B. Al‐Yafei, Hamdi Bennasr
wiley +1 more source

