ABSTRACT In this article, the relationship between the level of deprivation, measured by the Indices of Multiple Deprivation decile (IMD decile) determined by the UK Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government, and the number of different types of accidental dwelling fires (ADFs) in populations across the different IMD deciles is examined ...
M. Taylor +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Insecure employment and the social determinants of suicide: a narrative synthesis review. [PDF]
van den Berg M +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
Forecasting House Prices: The Role of Market Interconnectedness
ABSTRACT While the existing research uncovers interconnections between various housing markets, it largely ignores the question of whether such linkages can improve house price predictions. To address this issue, we proceed in two steps. First, we forecast disaggregated house price growth rates from Australia and China to determine whether ...
Zac Chen +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Joint models targeting U.S. Army soldiers at high-risk of post-separation unemployment, homelessness, and suicide-related behaviors. [PDF]
Borowski S +16 more
europepmc +1 more source
Regime‐Dependent Nowcasting of the Austrian Economy
ABSTRACT We nowcast and forecast economic activity in Austria, namely, real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption, and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency, using a preselected number of monthly indicators based on a combination of statistical procedures.
Jaroslava Hlouskova, Ines Fortin
wiley +1 more source
Non-linear relationships between lifetime unemployment exposure, major health outcomes and all-cause mortality: a retrospective and prospective study in a large population-based French cohort. [PDF]
Sanchez Rico M +7 more
europepmc +1 more source
Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis +3 more
wiley +1 more source
Potential impacts of adult growth hormone deficiency: a population-based study in England. [PDF]
Criseno S +4 more
europepmc +1 more source
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley +1 more source
Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos +4 more
wiley +1 more source

