Results 141 to 150 of about 119,737 (267)

Leukaemia and unemployment [PDF]

Nature, 1991
openaire   +2 more sources

Term Spread Volatility as a Leading Indicator of Economic Activity

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT In this paper, we examine the macroeconomic predictive power of the volatility of the US Treasury yield curve slope (term spread volatility). Our forecasting exercise shows that US term spread volatility has significant predictive power for US industrial production and employment growth.
Anastasios Megaritis, Dimitrios Bakas, Theodora Bermpei, Athanasios Triantafyllou   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Trends in Working Life Expectancy and Untapped Employment Potential in an Ageing Population: The Case of Germany. [PDF]

Eur J Popul
Sulak H, Dudel C, Loichinger E, Klüsener S.   +3 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Identifying Drivers of Deviations From Rational Expectations: Using a New Irrational Index for Inflation Forecasts

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Most studies on inflation forecasts have studied behavioral biases, informational frictions, or external shocks in isolation, without considering how these factors jointly drive deviations from rational expectations. We therefore adopt an integrated framework that simultaneously estimates the behavioral, informational, and external ...
Belen Chocobar, Peter Claeys
wiley   +1 more source

Community care policy at the intersection of HIV and unemployment crises in South Africa: paradoxes and paradigms. [PDF]

Health Policy Plan
van Ryneveld M, Schneider H.
europepmc   +1 more source

The Impact of Uncertainty on Forecasting the US Economy

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper examines the predictive value of uncertainty measures for key macroeconomic indicators across multiple forecast horizons. We evaluate how different uncertainty proxies—economic policy uncertainty (EPU), VIX, geopolitical risk, and measures of macroeconomic and financial uncertainty—enhance forecast accuracy for industrial production,
Angelica Ghiselli
wiley   +1 more source

Unemployment during life can lead to metabolic syndrome in adult age. A 40-year follow-up of the Northern Swedish Cohort. [PDF]

Eur J Public Health
Hammarström A, Albin M, Alfredsson L, Hernnäs S, Kjellberg K, Virtanen P.   +5 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Using DSGE and Machine Learning to Forecast Public Debt for France

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT Forecasting public debt is essential for effective policymaking and economic stability, yet traditional approaches face challenges due to data scarcity. While machine learning (ML) has demonstrated success in financial forecasting, its application to macroeconomic forecasting remains underexplored, hindered by short historical time series and ...
Emmanouil Sofianos, Thierry Betti, Theophilos Papadimitriou, Amélie Barbier‐Gauchard, Periklis Gogas   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Food delivery services for enhancing participation in the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) in the United States: bridging the WIC-eligible access gap. [PDF]

Front Public Health
Gao J, Idris MA, Ademu LO, Griffin BC, Zhang Y, Hang Y, Gallegos GA.   +6 more
europepmc   +1 more source

DSGE Model Forecasting: Rational Expectations Versus Adaptive Learning

Journal of Forecasting, EarlyView.
ABSTRACT This paper compares within‐sample and out‐of‐sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets, and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real‐time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4.
Anders Warne
wiley   +1 more source