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The unemployment rate, unemployment volatility, and crime
International Journal of Social Economics, 2012PurposeThe paper aims to study the effect of the unemployment rate and its volatility on crime in the USA. It proposes that not only the unemployment rate, but also its volatility affect the crime.Design/methodology/approachFirst, the volatility of the unemployment rate is calculated using ARCH models.
Firouz Fallahi +2 more
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Forecasting Asymmetric Unemployment Rates [PDF]
Asymmetric behavior has been documented in postwar quar-terly U.S. unemployment rates. This suggests that improvement over conventional linear forecasts may be possible through the use of nonlinear time-series models. In this note an out-of-sample forecasting competition is carried out for a set of leading nonlinear time-series models. It is shown that
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2020
Creating a scientific survey of unemployment in the 1930s and 1940s was an advance for people’s understanding of unemployment and for rational government policy. Many government officials, including Secretary of Labor Frances Perkins and agencies including the Census Bureau, the Works Progress Administration, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS ...
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Creating a scientific survey of unemployment in the 1930s and 1940s was an advance for people’s understanding of unemployment and for rational government policy. Many government officials, including Secretary of Labor Frances Perkins and agencies including the Census Bureau, the Works Progress Administration, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS ...
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Forecasting the US unemployment rate
Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 2003zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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Unemployment-Rate Dynamics and Persistent Unemployment Under Rational Expectations [PDF]
This paper develops a model of unemployment rate dynamics that provides an explanation of persistent cyclical unemployment that does not involve persistent expectational errors or other nonoptimizing behavior. Our results are based on the interaction of search dynamics and inventory adjustments.
Darby, Michael R +2 more
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Exact Unemployment Rate Indices
Contemporary Economic Policy, 2003Conventional unemployment rate measures tend to overestimate the degree of labor underutilization if unemployment disproportionately affects less educated and generally less productive workers. Based on index number theory as well as on econometric techniques, this article proposes a number of alternative measures that are exact for specific labor ...
Michael J. Greenwood, Ulrich Kohli
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Forecasting Asymmetric Unemployment Rates
SSRN Electronic Journal, 1997Asymmetric behavior has been documented in post-war quarterly U.S. unemployment rates. This suggests that improvement over conventional linear forecasts may be possible through use of nonlinear time series models. In this paper an out-of-sample forecasting competition is carried out for a set of leading nonlinear time series models.
Philip Rothman, James H. Stock
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Whither Singapore's Unemployment Rate?
2015In the period 1990-1999, Singapore's average annual real GDP growth was 7.3% with a coefficient of variation, which is a measure of dispersion of growth around its mean, of 0.49. The average annual total unemployment rate during this period was 1.9%.
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