Results 31 to 40 of about 23,659 (294)

Measuring the Distance between Sets of ARMA Models

open access: yesEconometrics, 2016
A distance between pairs of sets of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) processes is proposed. Its main properties are discussed. The paper also shows how the proposed distance finds application in time series analysis.
Umberto Triacca
doaj   +1 more source

Ordinal Time Series Forecasting of the Air Quality Index

open access: yesEntropy, 2021
This research models and forecasts daily AQI (air quality index) levels in 16 cities/counties of Taiwan, examines their AQI level forecast performance via a rolling window approach over a one-year validation period, including multi-level forecast ...
Cathy W. S. Chen, L. M. Chiu
doaj   +1 more source

Panel Vector Autoregressive Models: A Survey [PDF]

open access: yesSSRN Electronic Journal, 2013
This paper provides an overview of the panel VAR models used in macroeconomics and finance. It discusses what are their distinctive features, what they are used for, and how they can be derived from economic theory. It also describes how they are estimated and how shock identification is performed, and compares panel VARs to other approaches used in ...
Canova, Fabio, Ciccarelli, Matteo
openaire   +4 more sources

Mixture multilevel vector-autoregressive modeling

open access: yesPsychological Methods, 2023
With the rising popularity of intensive longitudinal research, the modeling techniques for such data are increasingly focused on individual differences. Here we present mixture multilevel vector-autoregressive modeling, which extends multilevel vector-autoregressive modeling by including a mixture, to identify individuals with similar traits and ...
Anja F. Ernst   +4 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Eco-sustainability analytics: Applying stochastic modeling in environmental data for resource optimization [PDF]

open access: yesE3S Web of Conferences
In sustainable development modeling, the systemic interconnection between the economy, ecology, and social processes is considered. Simple autoregressive AR models, which are widely used in the practice of modeling and forecasting various indicators of ...
Svetunkov S. G.
doaj   +1 more source

Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Demand and Prices: A Comparison of Alternative Approaches

open access: yesJournal of Mathematics, 2022
Electricity demand and price forecasting are key components for the market participants and system operators as precise forecasts are necessary to manage power systems effectively. However, forecasting electricity demand and prices are challenging due to
Ismail Shah, Hasnain Iftikhar, Sajid Ali
doaj   +1 more source

Monthly streamflow prediction using a hybrid stochastic-deterministic approach for parsimonious non-linear time series modeling

open access: yesEngineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics, 2020
Accurate streamflow prediction is essential in reservoir management, flood control, and operation of irrigation networks. In this study, the deterministic and stochastic components of modeling are considered simultaneously.
Zhen Wang   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

Backpropagation Through Soft Body: Investigating Information Processing in Brain–Body Coupling Systems

open access: yesAdvanced Robotics Research, EarlyView.
This study explores how information processing is distributed between brains and bodies through a codesign approach. Using the “backpropagation through soft body” framework, brain–body coupling agents are developed and analyzed across several tasks in which output is generated through the agents’ physical dynamics.
Hiroki Tomioka   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Ancestor regression in structural vector autoregressive models

open access: yesJournal of Causal Inference
We present a new method for causal discovery in linear structural vector autoregressive models. We adapt an idea designed for independent observations to the case of time series while retaining its favorable properties, i.e., explicit error control for ...
Schultheiss Christoph   +2 more
doaj   +1 more source

Integrating Deep Learning into Semiparametric Network Vector AutoRegressive Models

open access: yesMathematics
Network vector AutoRegressive models play a vital role in multivariate time series analysis. However, previous research in the classic Network vector AutoRegressive (NAR) model is limited to strict assumptions of linearity and time-invariance of node ...
Yiming Tang   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

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