Results 31 to 40 of about 927 (261)

Understanding long-term memory in global mean temperature: An attribution study based on model simulations

open access: yesAtmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2020
Long-term memory (LTM) in the climate system has been well recognized and applied in different research fields, but the origins of this property are still not clear.
Min QIU, Naiming YUAN, Shujie YUAN
doaj   +1 more source

Do GCMs predict the climate ... or macroweather? [PDF]

open access: yesEarth System Dynamics, 2013
We are used to the weather–climate dichotomy, yet the great majority of the spectral variance of atmospheric fields is in the continuous "background" and this defines instead a trichotomy with a "macroweather" regime in the intermediate range from ≈10 ...
S. Lovejoy, D. Schertzer, D. Varon
doaj   +1 more source

Skillful prediction of multidecadal variations in volcanic forcing [PDF]

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2017
AbstractStratospheric sulfate injections from explosive volcanic eruptions are a primary natural climate forcing. Improved statistical models can now capture and simulate dynamical relationships in temporal variations of binary data. Leveraging these new techniques, the presented analysis clearly indicates that the number of large eruptions in the most
Tuel, A., Naveau, P., Ammann, C.
openaire   +3 more sources

A regional climate palaeosimulation for Europe in the period 1500–1990 – Part 1: Model validation [PDF]

open access: yesClimate of the Past, 2013
We present and analyse a high-resolution regional climate palaeosimulation encompassing the European region for the period 1500–1990. We use the regional model MM5 driven at the boundaries by the global model ECHO-G.
J. J. Gómez-Navarro   +3 more
doaj   +1 more source

Monitoring diffuse volcanic degassing with seismic ambient noise [PDF]

open access: yesNatural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Diffuse volcanic degassing is a persistent and often underestimated natural hazard, with potential impacts on air quality, ecosystem health, and volcanic risk management.
H. Seivane, H. Seivane, M. Schimmel
doaj   +1 more source

Stratospheric age of air variations between 1600 and 2100

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, 2016
The current understanding of preindustrial stratospheric age of air (AoA), its variability, and the potential natural forcing imprint on AoA is very limited.
S. Muthers   +6 more
doaj   +1 more source

The Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (DAMIP v1.0) contribution to CMIP6 [PDF]

open access: yesGeoscientific Model Development, 2016
Detection and attribution (D&A) simulations were important components of CMIP5 and underpinned the climate change detection and attribution assessments of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The primary goals
N. P. Gillett   +8 more
doaj   +1 more source

Volcanic forcing of the Lomagundi–Jatuli carbon isotope excursion [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
The Lomagundi–Jatuli Event (LJE), Earth’s most pronounced and prolonged positive carbon isotope excursion, followed the Great Oxidation Event and remains enigmatic in origin. We present a Pb–Pb isochron age of 2,194 ± 5 Ma for black shales from the Francevillian FB Formation, Gabon—an LJE type locality—coinciding with the ...
Blichert-Toft, Janne   +6 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Timing and climate forcing of volcanic eruptions for the past 2,500 years [PDF]

open access: yesNature, 2015
Volcanic eruptions contribute to climate variability, but quantifying these contributions has been limited by inconsistencies in the timing of atmospheric volcanic aerosol loading determined from ice cores and subsequent cooling from climate proxies such as tree rings.
Sigl, M.   +23 more
openaire   +5 more sources

The impact of volcanic aerosol on the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex: mechanisms and sensitivity to forcing structure [PDF]

open access: yesAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 2014
Observations and simple theoretical arguments suggest that the Northern Hemisphere (NH) stratospheric polar vortex is stronger in winters following major volcanic eruptions.
M. Toohey   +4 more
doaj   +1 more source

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