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Waves to Weather: Exploring the Limits of Predictability of Weather
AbstractPrediction of weather is a main goal of atmospheric science. Its importance to society is growing continuously due to factors such as vulnerability to natural disasters, the move to renewable energy sources, and the risks of climate change. But prediction is also a major scientific challenge due to the inherently limited predictability of a ...
Craig, George C.+12 more
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NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center Releases Two New Products
Key Points The NWS SWPC released two new forecast productsForecasts will be in more frequent and more easily understood mannerInformation is at an appropriate level to meet the sophistication of the ...
R. Rutledge+3 more
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The goal of the paper is to reveal discrepancies of turbulent variables over different surfaces (sea, island, land) based on the measurements taken on three towers during (including before and after) seven typhoon episodes from 2008 to 2018.
Xueyan Bi+6 more
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Modernization of Atmospheric Physics Parameterization in Canadian NWP
Atmospheric physics is represented in numerical models by parameterizations that use resolved‐scale information to estimate the effects of physical processes on the atmospheric state.
R. McTaggart‐Cowan+11 more
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Characteristics of 1 year of observational data of VOCs, NOx and O3 at a suburban site in Guangzhou, China [PDF]
Guangzhou, one of China's megacities, is beset with frequent occurrence of high-concentration ozone events. In this study, online instruments were used to simultaneously monitor ozone, nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) at GPACS (
Y. Zou+10 more
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Prediction Challenges From Errors in Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Trends
Models in the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) predict sea surface temperature (SST) trends in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean which are more positive than those observed over the period 1982–2020.
Michelle L. L'Heureux+2 more
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The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth system models [PDF]
The Earth system models (ESMs) that participated in the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) tend to simulate excessive cooling in surface air temperature (TAS) between 1960 and 1990.
J. Zhang+19 more
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The effects of solar radiation storms at Earth are felt across a number of technology‐based industries. Energetic particles present during these storms impact electrical components on spacecraft, disrupt high frequency radio communications, and pose a ...
H. M. Bain+3 more
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Parameterization of downward long-wave radiation based on long-term baseline surface radiation measurements in China [PDF]
Downward long-wave radiation (DLR) affects energy exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere and plays an important role in weather forecasting, agricultural activities, and the development of climate models.
J. Yang+7 more
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Predictability of Weather and Climate [PDF]
AbstractThe past developments in the predictability of weather and climate are discussed from the point of view of nonlinear dynamical systems. The problems ahead for long‐range predictability extending into the climate time scale are also presented.
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