Results 121 to 130 of about 17,025 (257)

Ensemble reliability and the signal‐to‐noise paradox in ECMWF subseasonal forecasts

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
We derive a general expression for the ratio of predictable components (RPC) in terms of correlation, spread–error ratio, and total variance ratio. Physical constraints on the admissible solutions (i.e., real‐valued and non‐negative variances) provide a mechanism to identify statistically paradoxical sample combinations of reliability and correlation ...
Christopher D. Roberts, Frederic Vitart
wiley   +1 more source

Numerical simulation and physical understanding of a locally initiated sea fog event over the eastern Yellow Sea with a transition of air–sea temperature difference

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Unexpected sea fog in the west coast of South Korea had a huge impact on the transportations in the Seoul–Incheon metropolitan area. We reproduced successfully the formation and evolution of a sea event with a transition of air–sea temperature difference using the Weather Research and Forecasting model.
Jeonghoe Kim   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Nuclear waste radionuclides unveil three decades of anthropogenic carbon in the Canada Basin of the Arctic Ocean. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Payne A   +7 more
europepmc   +1 more source

Anthromes and terrestrial carbon

open access: yes
PLANTS, PEOPLE, PLANET, EarlyView.
Anthony P. Walker   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

A framework to evaluate and identify development requirements for land‐surface models at km‐scale resolution: Application to a semi‐arid and mountainous region

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
This article provides a first evaluation of land‐surface models at the km‐scale resolutions at which they are used in weather and Earth‐system models. At these resolutions, the lateral transfers of water that organize landscapes play an important role in predicting evaporation correctly. Riparian processes and human water management for irrigation need
Jan Polcher   +13 more
wiley   +1 more source

Scaling turbulence drives the general circulation

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
The NOAA Gulfstream SP4, which deployed the GPS dropsondes over the NE Pacific Ocean as part of the Winter Storms Project during the January–March periods of 2004, 2005 and 2006. Abstract Statistical multifractal analysis of airborne and dropsonde observations is used to show that persistence of velocity after molecular collisions breaks the continuous
Adrian F. Tuck
wiley   +1 more source

Spatial observation‐error correlations for AMSU‐A in all‐sky assimilation: An ECMWF and UK Met Office intercomparison

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
Assimilation of AMSU‐A all‐sky observations can be increased up to fivefold if spatial observation‐error correlations are accounted for properly. New correlation estimates derived using data from ECMWF and the UK Met Office reveal that correlation length‐scales are between 75 and 150 km for AMSU‐A channels peaking in the troposphere. This is attributed
Rishabh Bhatt   +9 more
wiley   +1 more source

Using microwave imager observations to improve the ocean temperature in a coupled NWP system

open access: yesQuarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, EarlyView.
A recent upgrade to the ECMWF IFS has implemented outer‐loop coupling between the atmosphere and the ocean. This work uses this method to pass ocean skin temperature estimates derived from satellite‐borne microwave imagers to the ocean data assimilation system; the updated ocean state is then passed back to the atmospheric system.
Tracy Scanlon   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

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