Results 11 to 20 of about 8,939,565 (239)

On the generality and cognitive basis of base-rate neglect [PDF]

open access: yesCognition, 2021
ABSTRACT Base rate neglect refers to people’s apparent tendency to underweight or even ignore base rate information when estimating posterior probabilities for events, such as the probability that a person with a positive cancer-test outcome actually does have cancer.
Elina Stengård   +3 more
core   +9 more sources

BASE RATE NEGLECT FOR THE WEALTH OF INTERACTING PEOPLE [PDF]

open access: yesAdvances in Complex Systems, 2010
Previous research investigating base rate neglect as a bias in human information processing has focused on isolated individuals. This study complements this research by showing that in settings of interacting individuals, especially in settings of social learning, where individuals can learn from one another, base rate neglect can increase a population'
Urbig, Diemo, DIEMO URBIG
openaire   +5 more sources

Base rate neglect in computer science education

open access: yesCoRR, 2022
Machine learning (ML) algorithms are gaining increased importance in many academic and industrial applications, and such algorithms are, accordingly, becoming common components in computer science curricula. Learning ML is challenging not only due to its complex mathematical and algorithmic aspects, but also due to a) the complexity of using correctly ...
Koby Mike, Orit Hazzan
openaire   +4 more sources

Base-Rate Neglect and Imperfect Information Acquisition [PDF]

open access: yes, 2005
Base-rate neglect is a robust experimental finding that individuals do not update their prior beliefs according to the Bayes' rule and, typically, underestimate their posterior probabilities. Another empirical finding is that individuals often do not acquire information even when there are no strategic considerations and the cost of new information is ...
Wichardt, Philipp C, Blavatskyy, Pavlo R
core   +5 more sources

Base-rate neglect in ALCOVE: A critical reevaluation.

open access: yesPsychological Review, 1995
A recent hybrid model of categorization (Attention Learning Covering Map [ALCOVE]; J. K. Kruschke, 1992) has combined the most desirable properties of exemplar models with a connectionist architecture and learning rule. A critically important property of ALCOVE is its apparent ability to account for base-rate neglect, a phenomenon beyond the purview of
Lewandowsky, Stephan
openaire   +2 more sources

The Surprising Benefits of Base Rate Neglect in Robust Aggregation [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the 25th ACM Conference on Economics and Computation
Robust aggregation integrates predictions from multiple experts without knowledge of the experts' information structures. Prior work assumes experts are Bayesian, providing predictions as perfect posteriors based on their signals. However, real-world experts often deviate systematically from Bayesian reasoning.
Yuqing Kong, Shu Wang, Ying Wang 0094
core   +5 more sources

Base Rate Neglect in Linguistic Category Learning. [PDF]

open access: yes
This paper presents a categorization experiment supporting the hypothesis that base-rate-neglect occurs in linguistic category learning (and, thus, is a cross-domain phenomenon), and that it is more likely for those learners who engage in explicit problem-solving, rather than implicit learning.
Pertsova, Katya   +3 more
openaire   +3 more sources

Strange but true: Corroboration and base rate neglect. [PDF]

open access: yesJournal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, and Cognition, 2021
How do we deal with unlikely witness testimonies? Whether in legal or everyday reasoning, corroborative evidence is generally considered a strong marker of support for the reported hypothesis. However, questions remain regarding how the prior probability, or base rate, of that hypothesis interacts with corroboration.
Toby D. Pilditch   +2 more
openaire   +3 more sources

The environmental malleability of base-rate neglect [PDF]

open access: yesPsychonomic Bulletin & Review, 2020
Across two experiments (N=799) we demonstrate that people's use of quantitative information (e.g., base-rates) when making a judgment varies as the causal link of qualitative information (e.g., stereotypes) changes. That is, when a clear causal link for stereotypes is provided, people make judgments that are far more in line with them.
Martin Harry, Turpin   +5 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Lucky numbers : spatial neglect affects physical, but not representational, choices in a Lotto task. [PDF]

open access: yes, 2010
Spatial neglect can be characterized by a “magnetic attraction” towards the right side of a visual stimulus array and a selection of stimuli from that hemispace.
Bradshaw, John L.   +4 more
core   +5 more sources

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