Toward a more nuanced understanding of probability estimation biases
In real life, we often have to make judgements under uncertainty. One such judgement task is estimating the probability of a given event based on uncertain evidence for the event, such as estimating the chances of actual fire when the fire alarm goes off.
Fallon Branch, Jay Hegdé
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Comparing fast thinking and slow thinking: The relative benefits of interventions, individual differences, and inferential rules [PDF]
Research on judgment and decision making has suggested that the System 2 process of slow thinking can help people to improve their decision making by reducing well-established statistical decision biases (including base rate neglect, probability matching,
M. Asher Lawson +2 more
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Ambiguous Priors and Base Rate Neglect
Jiangyan Li, Jianying Qiu, Utz Weitzel
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Single-Heuristic Reasoning: Is It Still Dual-Process?
Traditionally, paradigms used to study conflict in reasoning (and metacognition during reasoning) pit heuristic processes against analytical processes.
Pavle Valerjev, Marin Dujmović
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Theories of truth as assessment criteria in judgment and decision making [PDF]
Hammond (1996) argued that much of the research in the field of judgment and decision making (JDM) can be categorized as focused on either coherence or correspondence (CandC) and that, in order to understand the findings of the field, one needs to ...
Philip T. Dunwoody
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Author response: Model-based fMRI reveals dissimilarity processes underlying base rate neglect
Sean R O'Bryan +3 more
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The Base Rate Neglect in Judgment and Decision-making [PDF]
Chenghao LIU +4 more
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Turbulence in the stratified boundary layer under ice: observations from Lake Baikal and a new similarity model [PDF]
Seasonal ice cover on lakes and polar seas creates seasonally developing boundary layer at the ice base with specific features: fixed temperature at the solid boundary and stable density stratification beneath.
G. Kirillin +4 more
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Effect of Putrescine on Rooting of Yew Cuttings, an Ornamental Shrub in Danger of Extinction [PDF]
IntroductionYew or English yew (Taxus baccata L.) from the family of Taxaceae is an ornamental shrub that is used in various industries. Root induction and formation process at the base of stem cuttings of yew is slow.
Ali Sahari Moghaddam +4 more
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IPA and WPA-SOAP Strategies to Promote the Human Rights in Mental Health Care of Older Adults
The number of persons with 60 years and more worldwide is estimated to triple by 2050. With the raising burden of the mental health conditions that accompany population ageing, mental health care for older adults has to be under pined by a dignity and ...
C.A. De Mendonça Lima
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