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Bayes' Theorem: An Expository Presentation [PDF]

open access: bronzeThe Annals of Mathematical Statistics, 1931
Bayes' theorem made its appearance as the ninth proposition in an essay which occupies pages 370 to 418 of the Philosophical Transactions, Vol. 53, for 1763. An introductory letter written by Richard Price, “Theologian, Statistician, Actuary and Political Writer,”1 begins thus:
Edward C. Molina
openaire   +4 more sources

Error rates in SARS-CoV-2 testing examined with Bayes' theorem [PDF]

open access: yesHeliyon, 2021
The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has created a demand for large scale testing, as part of the effort to understand and control transmission. It is important to quantify the error rates of test equipment under field conditions, which might differ significantly ...
P.M. Bentley
doaj   +2 more sources

Bayes’ theorem [PDF]

open access: bronze, 2019
Abstract This chapter focuses on Bayes’ Theorem. The chapter first gives a brief introduction to Thomas Bayes, who first formulated the theorem. It then builds on the content presented in Chapters 1 and 2 to derive Bayes’ Theorem and describes two ways to think about it.
Therese M. Donovan, Ruth M. Mickey
  +6 more sources

Application of Bayes' Theorem in Valuating Depression Tests Performance [PDF]

open access: yesFrontiers in Psychology, 2018
The validity of clinical diagnoses is a fundamental topic in clinical psychology, because now there are some political administrations, as the IOM or the U.K. government, which are focusing on best evidence-based practice in clinical psychology. The most
Marco Tommasi   +2 more
doaj   +2 more sources

A software tool for applying Bayes' theorem in medical diagnostics [PDF]

open access: yesBMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making
Background In medical diagnostics, estimating post-test or posterior probabilities for disease, positive and negative predictive values, and their associated uncertainty is essential for patient care.
Theodora Chatzimichail   +1 more
doaj   +2 more sources

Sharpening the second law of thermodynamics with the quantum Bayes theorem [PDF]

open access: bronze, 2014
We prove a generalization of the classic Groenewold-Lindblad entropy inequality, combining decoherence and the quantum Bayes theorem into a simple unified picture where decoherence increases entropy while observation decreases it.
Hrant Gharibyan, Max Tegmark
openalex   +5 more sources

Towards more reliable gambling cost estimates, a population-based study with register-linkage [PDF]

open access: yesBMC Public Health
Background Although past research has shown a strong association between gambling participation and harms, relatively few studies have attempted to quantify the cost of these harms to society.
Tiina A. Latvala   +5 more
doaj   +2 more sources

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