Results 141 to 150 of about 37,630 (219)
The Central Role of Bayes' Theorem for Joint Estimation of Causal Effects and Propensity Scores. [PDF]
Am Stat, 2016 Zigler CM.
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Journal of Applied Econometrics, Volume 41, Issue 5, Page 549-566, August 2026.ABSTRACT We present four novel tests of equal predictive accuracy and encompassing á Pitarakis (2023, 2025) for factor‐augmented regressions. Factors are estimated using cross‐section averages (CAs) of grouped series and our theoretical findings are empirically relevant: asymptotic normality, robustness to an overspecification of the number of factors,
Alessandro Morico, Ovidijus Stauskas
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Modelling risk using Bayes theorem of infection by antibiotic-resistant Escherichia coli in rural and urban populations of Ecuador. [PDF]
F1000Res, 2018 Ramirez Cando LJ +2 more
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Bayesian Model Averaging in Causal Instrumental Variable Models
Journal of Applied Econometrics, Volume 41, Issue 5, Page 669-683, August 2026.ABSTRACT Instrumental variables are a popular tool to infer causal effects under unobserved confounding, but choosing suitable instruments is challenging in practice. We propose gIVBMA, a Bayesian model averaging procedure that addresses this challenge by averaging across different sets of instrumental variables and covariates in a structural equation ...
Gregor Steiner, Mark Steel
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Kuga–Satake Construction on Families of K3 Surfaces of Picard Rank 14
Mathematische Nachrichten, Volume 299, Issue 8, Page 1894-1916, August 2026.ABSTRACT The isometry between the type IV6 and the type II4 hermitian symmetric domains suggests a possible relation between suitable moduli spaces of K3 surfaces of Picard rank 14 and of polarized abelian 8‐folds with totally definite quaternion multiplication. We show how this isometry induces a geometrically meaningful map between such moduli spaces
Flora Poon
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The Two Extremal Rays of Some Hyper–Kähler Fourfolds
Mathematische Nachrichten, Volume 299, Issue 8, Page 2161-2176, August 2026.ABSTRACT We consider projective Hyper–Kähler manifolds of dimension 4 that are deformation equivalent to Hilbert squares of K3 surfaces. In case such a manifold admits a divisorial contraction, the exceptional divisor is a conic bundle over a K3 surface. A classification of lattice embeddings implies that there are five types of such conic bundles.
Federica Galluzzi, Bert van Geemen
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Oikos, Volume 2026, Issue 8, August 2026.Misinterpretation of p‐values, coupled with insufficient consideration of the prior plausibility of ecological hypotheses, leads to overconfident and often unreliable inference in ecological research. To address this issue, we present a methodological framework for p‐value calibration that reinterprets conventional p‐values through minimum Bayes ...
Rafael Dettogni Guariento +2 more
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Evidence that home apnea testing does not follow AASM practice guidelines--or Bayes' theorem. [PDF]
J Clin Sleep Med, 2015 Bianchi MT.
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Modeling Treatment Response in Tuberculosis Early Bactericidal Activity Trials
CPT: Pharmacometrics &Systems Pharmacology, Volume 15, Issue 8, August 2026.ABSTRACT Culture‐based monitoring of bacterial load is slow and susceptible to missing data, contributing to the length and cost of TB clinical trials. Non‐culture‐based alternatives, like the Tuberculosis Molecular Load Bacterial Assay (TB‐MBLA), could represent a solution.
Mairi C. W. McClean +15 more
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