Results 91 to 100 of about 444,422 (231)
Subjectivity of pre-test probability value: controversies over the use of Bayes' Theorem in medical diagnosis. [PDF]
Theor Med Bioeth, 2023 Rzepiński T.
europepmc +1 more source
The RAND Journal of Economics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This article studies a dynamic project‐selection game between a Principal and an Agent with conflicting interests. Only the Agent knows what projects are feasible. In each period before a project is selected, the Principal imposes a restriction set. The Agent can select any feasible project within this set, thereby ending the game.
Wenhao Li
wiley +1 more source
A Web Simulator to Assist in the Teaching of Bayes’ Theorem
Journal of Statistics Education, 2019 Teaching some concepts in statistics greatly benefits from individual practice with immediate feedback. In order to provide such practice to a large number of students we have written a simulator based on an historical event: the loss in May 22, 1968 ...
M. J. Bárcena +4 more
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Why did Putin invade Ukraine? A theory of degenerate autocracy
American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.Abstract Many dictatorships end up with a series of disastrous decisions such as Hitler's attack on the Soviet Union or Saddam Hussein's aggression against Kuwait. Even if a certain policy choice is not ultimately fatal for the regime, such as Mao's Big Leap Forward or the Pol Pot's collectivization drive, they typically involve both a miscalculation ...
Georgy Egorov, Konstantin Sonin
wiley +1 more source
SINTECH (Science and Information Technology) Journal, 2019 This study aims to design and build web-based decision support system applications used to recommend the best tourist attractions in South Sulawesi to tourists.
Rikardo Chandra +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Long‐run confidence: Estimating uncertainty when using long‐run multipliers
American Journal of Political Science, EarlyView.Abstract Researchers are often interested in the long‐run relationship (LRR) between variables where the dependent variable has dynamic properties. Though determining the long‐run multiplier (LRM) for an independent variable is straightforward, correctly estimating the significance of the LRM is often difficult, especially when time series are short ...
Mark David Nieman, David A. M. Peterson
wiley +1 more source
Evolution of Fagan's Nomogram; a Commentary
Emergency, 2016 I read with interest your paper entitled "Pre and post-test probabilities and Fagan’s nomogram. I would like to add a note concerning an update on Fagan’s Nomogram.
Abdelrahman Ibrahim Abushouk
doaj
A Testing and Quarantine Algorithm for Individual International Travelers Using Published Data on WHO-Approved Vaccines and Bayes' Theorem. [PDF]
Vaccines (Basel), 2022 Lee FW, Wang J, Wang CJ.
europepmc +1 more source
A tutorial on Bayesian model averaging for exponential random graph models
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, EarlyView.Abstract The use of exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is becoming prevalent in psychology due to their ability to explain and predict the formation of edges between vertices in a network. Valid inference with ERGMs requires correctly specifying endogenous and exogenous effects as network statistics, guided by theory, to represent the network ...
Ihnwhi Heo +2 more
wiley +1 more source
An extension of the basic local independence model to multiple observed classifications
British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, EarlyView.Abstract The basic local independence model (BLIM) is appropriate in situations where populations do not differ in the probabilities of the knowledge states and the probabilities of careless errors and lucky guesses of the items. In some situations, this is not the case. This work introduces the multiple observed classification local independence model
Pasquale Anselmi +8 more
wiley +1 more source