Results 31 to 40 of about 1,280,497 (284)

How Bayesian should Bayesian optimisation be? [PDF]

open access: yesProceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference Companion, 2021
Bayesian optimisation (BO) uses probabilistic surrogate models - usually Gaussian processes (GPs) - for the optimisation of expensive black-box functions. At each BO iteration, the GP hyperparameters are fit to previously-evaluated data by maximising the marginal likelihood.
De Ath, George   +2 more
openaire   +2 more sources

Bayesian Causality [PDF]

open access: yesThe American Statistician, 2019
Although no universally accepted definition of causality exists, in practice one is often faced with the question of statistically assessing causal relationships in different settings. We present a uniform general approach to causality problems derived from the axiomatic foundations of the Bayesian statistical framework.
Pierre Baldi, Babak Shahbaba
openaire   +4 more sources

Computing for Numeracy: How Safe is Your COVID-19 Social Bubble?

open access: yesNumeracy, 2021
The COVID-19 pandemic has led many people to form social bubbles. These social bubbles are small groups of people who interact with one another but restrict interactions with the outside world.
Charles Connor
doaj   +1 more source

Bayesian games with a continuum of states [PDF]

open access: yes, 2017
We show that every Bayesian game with purely atomic types has a measurable Bayesian equilibrium when the common knowl- edge relation is smooth. Conversely, for any common knowledge rela- tion that is not smooth, there exists a type space that
Hellman, Ziv, Levy, Yehuda John
core   +1 more source

Bayesian renormalization

open access: yesMachine Learning: Science and Technology, 2023
Abstract In this note we present a fully information theoretic approach to renormalization inspired by Bayesian statistical inference, which we refer to as Bayesian renormalization. The main insight of Bayesian renormalization is that the Fisher metric defines a correlation length that plays the role of an emergent renormalization group (
David S Berman   +2 more
openaire   +4 more sources

Combining multiple imperfect data sources for small area estimation: a Bayesian model of provincial fertility rates in Cambodia

open access: yesStatistical Theory and Related Fields, 2019
Demographic estimation becomes a problem of small area estimation when detailed disaggregation leads to small cell counts. The usual difficulties of small area estimation are compounded when the available data sources contain measurement errors.
Junni L. Zhang, John Bryant
doaj   +1 more source

Risk, Unexpected Uncertainty, and Estimation Uncertainty: Bayesian Learning in Unstable Settings [PDF]

open access: yes, 2011
Recently, evidence has emerged that humans approach learning using Bayesian updating rather than (model-free) reinforcement algorithms in a six-arm restless bandit problem. Here, we investigate what this implies for human appreciation of uncertainty.
A Quinn   +49 more
core   +5 more sources

Bayesian threshold analysis of litter size in sheep

open access: yesRevista Colombiana de Ciencias Pecuarias, 2022
Background: Litter size at birth (LSB) is one of the most important economic traits in sheep and could be used in genetic improvement schemes for meat production.
Amin Mortazavi   +5 more
doaj   +1 more source

The myths and realities of Bayesian chronological modeling revealed [PDF]

open access: yes, 2017
We review the history of Bayesian chronological modeling in archaeology and demonstrate that there has been a surge over the past several years in American archaeological applications.
Hamilton, W. Derek, Krus, Anthony M.
core   +1 more source

Gestational Weight Gain Growth Charts Adapted to Japanese Pregnancies Using a Bayesian Approach in a Longitudinal Study: The Japan Environment and Children’s Study

open access: yesJournal of Epidemiology, 2023
Background: Tracking gestational weight gain (GWG) during pregnancy makes it possible to optimize pregnancy outcomes, and GWG growth curves are well suitable for this purpose. The GWG guidelines for Japanese were revised in 2021.
Naho Morisaki   +13 more
doaj   +1 more source

Home - About - Disclaimer - Privacy