Results 31 to 40 of about 1,626 (283)
The Problem of New Evidence: P-Hacking and Pre-Analysis Plans
We provide a novel articulation of the epistemic peril of p-hacking using three resources from philosophy: predictivism, Bayesian confirmation theory, and model selection theory.
Zoe Hitzig, Jacob Stegenga
doaj +1 more source
Bayesian and empirical Bayesian forests
We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of Bayesian forest (BF) algorithms that yield small but reliable performance gains. Based on the BF framework, we are able
Matthew Taddy +3 more
openaire +3 more sources
Although Bayesian analysis has been in use since Laplace, the Bayesian method of model-comparison has only recently been developed in depth. In this paper, the Bayesian approach to regularization and model-comparison is demonstrated by studying the inference problem of interpolating noisy data.
openaire +3 more sources
The Principal Principle and subjective Bayesianism [PDF]
This paper poses a problem for Lewis’ Principal Principle in a subjective Bayesian framework: we show that, where chances inform degrees of belief, subjective Bayesianism fails to validate normal informal standards of what is reasonable.
Wallmann, Christian +2 more
core +1 more source
Reverse Bayesianism and Act Independence [PDF]
Karni and Vierø (2013) propose a model of belief revision under growing awareness—reverse Bayesianism—which posits that as a person becomes aware of new acts, consequences, or act-consequence links, she revises her beliefs over an expanded state space in
Chakravarty, Surajeet +2 more
core +1 more source
Rationality, the Bayesian standpoint, and the Monty-Hall problem
The Monty-Hall Problem ($MHP$) has been used to argue against a subjectivist view of Bayesianism in two ways. First, psychologists have used it to illustrate that people do not revise their degrees of belief in line with experimenters' application of ...
Jean eBaratgin
doaj +1 more source
Irrelevant Conjunction and the Ratio Measure or Historical Skepticism [PDF]
It is widely believed that one should not become more confident that _all swans are white and all lions are brave_ simply by observing white swans. Irrelevant conjunction or "tacking" of a theory onto another is often thought problematic for Bayesianism,
Pitts, J. Brian, J. Brian Pitts
core +1 more source
The human gut microbiome across the life course
Despite significant individual variation and continuous change throughout life, the human gut microbiome follows some life stage‐specific trends. This article provides a brief overview of how gut microbiome composition shifts across different phases of life. Created in BioRender. Özkurt, E. (2026) https://BioRender.com/8q4nrnc.
Alise J. Ponsero +4 more
wiley +1 more source
Probabilistic Sophistication and Reverse Bayesianism [PDF]
This paper extends our earlier work on reverse Bayesianism by relaxing the assumption that decision makers abide by expected utility theory, assuming instead weaker axioms that merely imply that they are probabilistically sophisticated.
Karni, Edi, Vierø, Marie-Louise
core
Reconstructing enzyme evolution by protein engineering
Natural enzyme evolution can be retraced by protein engineering methods such as directed evolution, rational design, and ancestral sequence reconstruction. These approaches reveal how enzymes emerged from ligand‐binding scaffolds, developed varying substrate preferences, formed oligomeric complexes, adapted to environmental changes, and evolved novel ...
Lukas Drexler +2 more
wiley +1 more source

