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2023
We study how contingent thinking - that is, reasoning through all possible contingencies without knowing which is realized - affects belief updating. According to the Bayesian benchmark, beliefs updated after exposure to new information should be equivalent to beliefs assessed for the contingency of receiving such information.
Aina, Chiara +2 more
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We study how contingent thinking - that is, reasoning through all possible contingencies without knowing which is realized - affects belief updating. According to the Bayesian benchmark, beliefs updated after exposure to new information should be equivalent to beliefs assessed for the contingency of receiving such information.
Aina, Chiara +2 more
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When Beliefs Face Reality: An Integrative Review of Belief Updating in Mental Health and Illness
Perspectives on Psychological Science, 2020Belief updating is a relatively nascent field of research that examines how people adjust their beliefs in light of new evidence. So far, belief updating has been investigated in partly unrelated lines of research from different psychological disciplines.
Tobias Kube, L. Rozenkrantz
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Psychology Review, 2023
Decades of findings in psychology suggest that human belief is thoroughly irrational. At best, beliefs might be formed by heuristic processes that predictably lead to suboptimal outcomes.
Joseph Sommer, J. Musolino, P. Hemmer
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Decades of findings in psychology suggest that human belief is thoroughly irrational. At best, beliefs might be formed by heuristic processes that predictably lead to suboptimal outcomes.
Joseph Sommer, J. Musolino, P. Hemmer
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2000
In this paper we show how several different semantics for belief update can be expressed in a framework for reasoning about actions. This framework can therefore be considered as a common core of all these update formalisms, thus making it clear what they have in common.
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In this paper we show how several different semantics for belief update can be expressed in a framework for reasoning about actions. This framework can therefore be considered as a common core of all these update formalisms, thus making it clear what they have in common.
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A Rule For Updating Ambiguous Beliefs
Theory and Decision, 2002zbMATH Open Web Interface contents unavailable due to conflicting licenses.
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Updating the identity-based model of belief: From false belief to the spread of misinformation.
Current Opinion in PsychologyThe spread of misinformation threatens democratic societies, hampering informed decision-making. Partisan identity biases perceptions of reality, promoting false beliefs.
Jay J. Van Bavel +3 more
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Bayesian updating and belief functions
IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 1992In a situation of uncertainty, the probability measure \(P\) is only known to belong to some set of probability measures \(\mathcal P\). Having observed a certain event \(E\), the true probability measure belongs to the set \({\mathcal P}^ E\) of conditionals of the members \(P\) of \(\mathcal P\) with respect to \(E\). Representing \({\mathcal P}^ E\)
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Belief Updating in Moral Dilemmas
Review of Philosophy and Psychology, 2013Moral psychologists have shown that people’s past moral experiences can affect their subsequent moral decisions. One prominent finding in this line of research is that when people make a judgment about the Trolley dilemma after considering the Footbridge dilemma, they are significantly less likely to decide it is acceptable to redirect a train to save ...
Zachary Horne +2 more
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Journal of Communications, 2020
The problem of a misinformed citizenry is often used to motivate research on misinformation and its corrections. However, researchers know little about how differences in informedness affect how well corrective information helps individuals develop ...
Jianing Li, Michael W. Wagner
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The problem of a misinformed citizenry is often used to motivate research on misinformation and its corrections. However, researchers know little about how differences in informedness affect how well corrective information helps individuals develop ...
Jianing Li, Michael W. Wagner
semanticscholar +1 more source
Belief Update in the pGOLOG Framework
2001High-level controllers that operate robots in dynamic, uncertain domains are concerned with at least two reasoning tasks dealing with the effects of noisy sensors and effectors: They have a) to project the effects of a candidate plan and b) to update their beliefs during on-line execution of a plan.
Henrik Grosskreutz, Gerhard Lakemeyer
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