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Resolving root causes of experiment discrepancies guided by machine learning. [PDF]

open access: yesNat Commun
Neudecker D   +8 more
europepmc   +1 more source
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Biased Surveys

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2023
We find empirical evidence that surveys of professional forecasters are biased by strategic incentives. First, we find that individual forecasts overreact to idiosyncratic information but underreact to common information. We show this is consistent with a model of strategic diversification incentives in forecast reporting where forecasters want to ...
Gemmi, Luca, Valchev, Rosen
openaire   +1 more source

Biased contests [PDF]

open access: possiblePublic Choice, 2008
We examine the effects of providing more accurate information to a political decision-maker lobbied by competing interests. We investigate how this bias in the direction of the correct decision affects efficiency, measured (inversely) by both the probability of taking an incorrect decision, and the amount of social waste associated to lobbying ...
Matthias Dahm, Nicolás Porteiro
openaire   +1 more source

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