Break-Even Inflation Rate and the Risk Premium: An Alternative Approach to the VAR Models in Forecasting the CPI [PDF]
This paper examines, for the Brazilian case, if break-even inflation rates (BEIR) extracted from fixed income securities are an unbiased estimator of consumer inflation, measured by the CPI. Our estimates suggest that BEIRs are informative about future inflation, especially for the maturity of three months.
João Caldeira, Luiz Furlani
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The Term Structure of Euro Area Break-Even Inflation Rates: The Impact of Seasonality [PDF]
This paper provides a toolkit for extracting accurate information about inflation expectations using inflation-linked bonds. First, we show how to estimate term structures of zero-coupon real rates and break-even inflation rates (BEIRs) in the euro area. This improves the analysis of developments in inflation expectations by providing constant maturity
Ejsing, Jacob +2 more
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Expectativas de inflación, prima de riesgo inflacionario y prima de liquidez : una descomposición del break-even inflation para los bonos del gobierno colombiano [PDF]
Se estima la descomposicion del break-even inflation a partir de un modelo afin de 6 factores de la estructura a terminos, nominal y real, de los bonos soberanos de Colombia, dentro de los cuales se incluye un factor asociado a la liquidez. Esta medida se descompone en expectativas de inflacion, prima de riesgo inflacionario y prima de liquidez para el
José Fernando Moreno-Gutiérrez +2 more
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Winding uplifts and the challenges of weak and strong SUSY breaking in AdS
We discuss the problem of metastable SUSY breaking in the landscape. While this is clearly crucial for the various de Sitter proposals, it is also interesting to consider the SUSY breaking challenge in the AdS context.
Arthur Hebecker, Sascha Leonhardt
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Background Timing for liver transplantation (LT) in biliary atresia (BA) children with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) is associated with all-cause mortality.
Boonyanurak Sihaklang +7 more
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Impacto do PIS e da COFINS na inflação: uma abordagem econométrica usando o teste de janela variável
O objetivo central desse artigo é testar se a mudança na legislação do PIS/COFINS, conseqüência das leis nº leis 10.637/2002 e 10833/2003, provocou quebras estruturais na dinâmica da inflação no Brasil, ou mesmo se houve algum efeito sobre o nível da ...
Rubens Penha Cysne +3 more
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An Investigation of Socio-Cultural Factors Affecting the Household Energy Consumption after the Implementation of Targeted Subsidies Law [PDF]
Introduction Among the economical sectors of the country, residential sector is the largest final consumer of energy and unlike the other sectors, its energy intensity is upward.
nematollah akbari +2 more
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Understanding the Persistence of Inflation in Argentina: From Peron to Milei [PDF]
Argentina’s repeated failures to achieve lasting inflation control reflect not merely technical mismanagement, but also the country’s deep-seated political and institutional rigidities.
Mario I Blejer
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Euclidean Wormholes, Baby Universes, and Their Impact on Particle Physics and Cosmology
The euclidean path integral remains, in spite of its familiar problems, an important approach to quantum gravity. One of its most striking and obscure features is the appearance of gravitational instantons or wormholes. These renormalize all terms in the
Arthur Hebecker +2 more
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Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the Euro area [PDF]
This paper estimates a time-varying AR-GARCH model of inflation producing measures of inflation uncertainty for the euro area, and investigates the linkages between them in a VAR framework, also allowing for the possible impact of the policy regime ...
Paesani, Paolo +11 more
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