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The Seasonality of Isae Business and Consumer Surveys: Methodological Aspects and Empirical Evidence [PDF]
The aim of this work is to explain and assess the results of the application of the TRAMO-SEATS seasonal adjustment method on the data of the ISAE manufacturing and consumer surveys. In particular, the study begins by focusing on the description of some of the typical problems of the seasonal adjustment of qualitative series, in relation to the ...
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Assessment of GDP Growth After the Corona Crisis Using the Results of Business And Consumer Surveys
SSRN Electronic Journal, 2021The article analyses the short-term effects of aggregate economic sentiment on the expected GDP growth in Russia based on the results of regular large-scale surveys of business activity of the Federal State Statistics Service of the Russian Federation for the period 1998-2020. The main purpose of the study is to substantiate the predictive value of the
Liudmila Kitrar, Tamara Lipkind
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Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2020
The European Commission’s business and consumer surveys are the most extensive regular surveys of Maltese firms and households. The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for Malta is closely correlated with real GDP growth, particularly when one focuses on the first vintage of national accounts data.
Aaron G. Grech, Reuben Ellul
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The European Commission’s business and consumer surveys are the most extensive regular surveys of Maltese firms and households. The Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) for Malta is closely correlated with real GDP growth, particularly when one focuses on the first vintage of national accounts data.
Aaron G. Grech, Reuben Ellul
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Southern Economic Journal, 2006
This paper represents a first formal attempt to examine the ability of consumer confidence to forecast household spending within a multicountry framework. To this end, we use two confidence indices, namely the Consumer Confidence Indicator and the Economic Sentiment Indicator, both of which are derived from the European Commission Business and Consumer
John A. Cotsomitis, Andy C. C. Kwan
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This paper represents a first formal attempt to examine the ability of consumer confidence to forecast household spending within a multicountry framework. To this end, we use two confidence indices, namely the Consumer Confidence Indicator and the Economic Sentiment Indicator, both of which are derived from the European Commission Business and Consumer
John A. Cotsomitis, Andy C. C. Kwan
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Evaluation and development of confidence indicators based on harmonised business and consumer surveys (Study contracted to IFO, Munich). [PDF]
The Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN) conducts a number of surveys within the framework of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys. This programme was launched in 1962 with the industrial survey, and since then there has been a spectacular growth of business and consumer surveys in the EU.
G. Goldrian +3 more
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Impact of EU Business and Consumer Survey indicators on the Croatia's Economy
2009Business and consumer survey (BCS) is a method of gathering information about the businessmen’s and consumers´ perception of their environment. The European Commission (Directorate General for Economic and Financial Affairs, DGECFIN) conducted Business Surveys in accordance with the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of BCS for different sectors of national
Čižmešija, Mirjana +2 more
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Short-Term Forecasting of Economic Development in Latvia Using Business and Consumer Survey Data [PDF]
At any stage of an economic cycle, policy makers and production managers are to make decisions how to benefit from an economic upswing most, or how to mitigate the adverse effects of an economic downturn. An early evaluation of economic development trends in a country will lead to a more favourable translation of policy decisions into economic ...
Aleksejs Melihovs, Svetlana Rusakova
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2018
Both growing consumer awareness regarding the effects of excessive consumption and the existence of worldwide internet platforms have contributed to the rise of the sharing economy. Internet platforms for consumer sharing and collaborative consumption are considered sustainable business models, because consumers make use of each other’s unused capacity
Leenheer, Jorna, Kuijten, Marco
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Both growing consumer awareness regarding the effects of excessive consumption and the existence of worldwide internet platforms have contributed to the rise of the sharing economy. Internet platforms for consumer sharing and collaborative consumption are considered sustainable business models, because consumers make use of each other’s unused capacity
Leenheer, Jorna, Kuijten, Marco
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Can inflation expectations in business or consumer surveys improve inflation forecasts?
2018In this paper we develop a new model that incorporates inflation expectations and can be used for the structural analysis of inflation, as well as for forecasting. In this latter connection, we specifically look into the usefulness of real-time survey data for inflation projections. We contribute to the literature in two ways. First, our model extracts
Basselier, Raïsa +3 more
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