Towards a Monthly Business Cycle Chronology for the Euro Area [PDF]
This paper is an exercise in dating the Euro area business cycle on a monthly basis. Using a quite flexible interpolation routine, we construct several monthly series of Euro area real GDP, and then apply the Bry-Boschan (1971) procedure.
Emanuel Mönch, Harald Uhlig
core
Impact of Terms-of-Trade on Slovakia, the Czech Republic, and Croatia in the Short Run
Naše Gospodarstvo, 2017 The terms-of-trade shocks are not main source of business cycles in three post-communist countries (i.e., Slovakia, the Czech Republic, and Croatia). The zero or negative reactions of the trade balance in terms-of-trade positive shocks in the countries ...
Szomolányi Karol +2 more
doaj +1 more source
Does the Real Business Cycle Help Forecast the Financial Cycle? [PDF]
Comput Econ, 2022 Jawadi F +3 more
europepmc +1 more source
Noise shocks and business cycle fluctuations in three major European Economies. [PDF]
Empir Econ, 2023 Reigl N.
europepmc +1 more source
Assessing Malaysia’s Business Cycle indicators [PDF]
An empirical assessment shows that Malaysia’s business cycle indicators can be improved. Turning point detection is not impressive, especially for troughs. Lead times are also variable.
Michael Meow-Chung Yap
core
Topological characteristics of international business cycle synchronization: A network analysis of the BRI economies. [PDF]
PLoS One, 2022 Qiu Z, Mai S.
europepmc +1 more source
Did the policy responses influence credit and business cycle co-movement during the COVID-19 crisis? Evidence from Indonesia. [PDF]
Econ Anal Policy, 2023 Prabheesh KP, Sasongko A, Indawan F.
europepmc +1 more source
The Frequency Analysis of the Business Cycle [PDF]
An account is given of some techniques of linear filtering that can be used for extracting the business cycle from economic data sequences of limited duration. It is argued that there can be no definitive definition of the business cycle.
Prof D.S.G. Pollock
core
Behavioral Theories of the Business Cycle [PDF]
We explore the business cycle implications of expectation shocks and of two well-known psychological biases, optimism and overconfidence. The expectations of optimistic agents are biased toward good outcomes, while overconfident agents overestimate the ...
Sergio Rebelo, Nir Jaimovich
core +2 more sources
Economic convergence in a globalized world: The role of business cycle synchronization. [PDF]
PLoS One, 2021 Lopez A, De Lucas S, Delgado MJ.
europepmc +1 more source