Results 111 to 120 of about 31,958 (223)
The Impact of Brexit on Unemployment In The United Kingdom Using Synthetic Control Method
Studia Universitatis Vasile Goldis Arad, Seria Stiinte EconomiceThe withdrawal of the United Kingdom (UK) from the European Union (EU) (known as “Brexit”) represented a challenge for labor markets on both sides. Hence, the aim of our paper is to assess the impact of this event on the unemployment rate in the UK ...
Simionescu Mihaela, Strielkowski Wadim
doaj +1 more source
Food Science and Human WellnessNumerous studies currently compare the lipid metabolism in patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and healthy individuals to identify lipid markers for predicting CVD.
Minyu Wu, Changfeng Hu, Lirong Shen
doaj +1 more source
Comparing and evaluating Bayesian predictive distributions of assets returns [PDF]
Bayesian inference in a time series model provides exact, out-of-sample predictive distributions that fully and coherently incorporate parameter uncertainty.
Amisano, Gianni, Geweke, John
core
Oligopoly and exchange rate dynamics in Nigeria
Scientific AfricanWe examine the short-run and long-run oligopoly - exchange rate nexus, with a focus on access to forex in Nigeria, using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model; controlling for other macroeconomic fundamentals (inflation rate, interest rate, oil
Omolara Omotunde Duke +3 more
doaj +1 more source
Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates [PDF]
We suggest an alternative use of disaggregate information to forecast the aggregate variable of interest, that is to include disaggregate information or disaggregate variables in the aggregate model as opposed to first forecasting the disaggregate ...
Hendry, David F., Hubrich, Kirstin
core
Plagiarism Without Apology--Systematic Integration of Available Information in a Long Run Agricultural Outlook [PDF]
In the context of a long run agricultural outlook on behalf of the European Environmental Agency a new methodology has been developed to systematically integrate external forecasts into a quite detailed agricultural sector model.
Britz, Wolfgang, Witzke, Heinz Peter
core +1 more source
Probability Distributions or Point Predictions? Survey Forecasts of US Output Growth and Inflation [PDF]
We consider whether survey respondents’probability distributions, reported as histograms, provide reliable and coherent point predictions, when viewed through the lens of a Bayesian learning model, and whether they are well calibrated more generally.
Clements, Michael P
core
Combining disaggregate forecasts or combining disaggregate information to forecast an aggregate [PDF]
To forecast an aggregate, we propose adding disaggregate variables, instead of combining forecasts of those disaggregates or forecasting by a univariate aggregate model. New analytical results show the effects of changing coefficients, mis-specification,
Hendry, David F., Hubrich, Kirstin
core