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Comptes Rendus. MécaniqueThe first climate models have emerged in the 60s and have been continuously developed since then. They have progressively included the representation of all the climate system components: the atmosphere, the ocean, the cryosphere and the biosphere ...
Voldoire, Aurore
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The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS) [PDF]
Geoscientific Model Development, 2023 Large-ensemble modelling has become an increasingly popular approach to studying the mean climate and the climate system’s internal variability in response to external forcing.
L. Muntjewerf +4 more
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Characterisation of Atlantic meridional overturning hysteresis using Langevin dynamics [PDF]
Earth System Dynamics, 2021 Hysteresis diagrams of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) under freshwater forcing from climate models of intermediate complexity are fitted to a simple model based on the Langevin equation. A total of six parameters are sufficient to
J. van den Berk +3 more
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The 2018 west-central European drought projected in a warmer climate: how much drier can it get? [PDF]
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2023 Projections of changes in extreme droughts under future climate conditions are associated with large uncertainties, owing to the complex genesis of droughts and large model uncertainty in the atmospheric dynamics.
E. E. Aalbers +6 more
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Model development in practice: a comprehensive update to the boundary layer schemes in HARMONIE-AROME cycle 40 [PDF]
Geoscientific Model Development, 2022 The parameterised description of subgrid-scale processes in the clear and cloudy boundary layer has a strong impact on the performance skill in any numerical weather prediction (NWP) or climate model and is still a prime source of uncertainty.
W. C. de Rooy +10 more
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Summertime Rossby waves in climate models: substantial biases in surface imprint associated with small biases in upper-level circulation [PDF]
Weather and Climate Dynamics, 2022 In boreal summer, circumglobal Rossby waves can promote stagnating weather systems that favor extreme events like heat waves or droughts. Recent work showed that amplified Rossby wavenumber 5 and 7 show phase-locking behavior which can trigger ...
F. Luo +16 more
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Attribution of the role of climate change in the forest fires in Sweden 2018 [PDF]
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2021 In this study, we analyse the role of climate change in the forest fires that raged through large parts of Sweden in the summer of 2018 from a meteorological perspective.
F. Krikken +6 more
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The effects of varying drought-heat signatures on terrestrial carbon dynamics and vegetation composition [PDF]
Biogeosciences, 2022 The frequency and severity of droughts and heatwaves are projected to increase under global warming. However, the differential impacts of climate extremes on the terrestrial biosphere and anthropogenic CO2 sink remain poorly understood. In this study, we
E. Tschumi +9 more
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MATISSE: an ArcGIS tool for monitoring and nowcasting meteorological hazards [PDF]
Advances in Science and Research, 2015 Adverse meteorological conditions are one of the major causes of accidents in aviation, resulting in substantial human and economic losses. For this reason it is crucial to monitor and early forecast high impact weather events.
V. Rillo, A. L. Zollo, P. Mercogliano
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Annual Review of Environment and Resources, 2008 Climate models simulate the atmosphere, given atmospheric composition and energy from the sun, and include explicit modeling of, and exchanges with, the underlying oceans, sea ice, and land. The models are based on physical principles governing momentum, thermodynamics, cloud microphysics, radiative transfer, and turbulence.
Leo J. Donner, William G. Large
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