Comparing the Model-simulated Global Warming Signal to Observations Using Empirical Estimates of Unforced Noise [PDF]
, 2015 The comparison of observed global mean surface air temperature (GMT) change to the mean change simulated by climate models has received much public and scientific attention.
Brown, Patrick T. +3 more
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Quantifying the feedback between Antarctic meltwater release and subsurface Southern Ocean warming [PDF]
Earth System DynamicsThe subsurface ocean around Antarctica is one of the primary drivers of mass loss from the Antarctic ice sheet through the basal melting of ice shelves.
E. Lambert +5 more
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Insects, 2023 Arboviral mosquito vectors are key targets for the surveillance and control of vector-borne diseases worldwide. In recent years, changes to the global distributions of these species have been a major research focus, aimed at predicting outbreaks of ...
Gabriel Z. Laporta +5 more
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Evaluation of different sources of uncertainty in climate change impact research using a hydro-climatic model ensemble [PDF]
, 2012 The international research project QBic3 (Quebec-Bavarian Collaboration on Climate Change) aims at investigating the potential impacts of climate change on the hydrology of regional scale catchments in Southern Quebec (Canada) and Bavaria (Germany). Yet,
Caya, D. +3 more
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A spatial evaluation of high-resolution wind fields from empirical and dynamical modeling in hilly and mountainous terrain [PDF]
Geoscientific Model Development, 2019 Empirical high-resolution surface wind fields, automatically generated by a weather diagnostic application, the WegenerNet Wind Product Generator (WPG), were intercompared with wind field analysis data from the Integrated Nowcasting through Comprehensive
C. Schlager +5 more
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Using proper divergence functions to evaluate climate models [PDF]
, 2013 It has been argued persuasively that, in order to evaluate climate models, the probability distributions of model output need to be compared to the corresponding empirical distributions of observed data.
Gissibl, Nadine +2 more
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An improved representation of aerosol in the ECMWF IFS-COMPO 49R1 through the integration of EQSAM4Climv12 – a first attempt at simulating aerosol acidity [PDF]
Geoscientific Model DevelopmentThe atmospheric composition forecasting system used to produce the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) forecasts of global aerosol and trace gas distributions, the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS-COMPO), undergoes periodic upgrades.
S. Rémy +4 more
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Uncertainty Quantification of Future Design Rainfall Depths in Korea [PDF]
, 2019 One of the most common ways to investigate changes in future rainfall extremes is to use future rainfall data simulated by climate models with climate change scenarios.
Handmer +6 more
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The match between climate services demands and Earth System Models supplies [PDF]
, 2018 Earth System Models (ESM) are key ingredients of many of the climate services that are currently being developed and delivered. However, ESMs have more applications than the provision of climate services, and similarly many climate services use more ...
Bessembinder, Janette +5 more
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Factors controlling the bifurcation structure of sea ice retreat [PDF]
, 2012 The contrast in surface albedo between sea ice and open ocean suggests the possibility of an unstable climate state flanked by two separate stable climate states. Previous studies using idealized single-column models and comprehensive climate models have
Eisenman, Ian
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