Results 91 to 100 of about 11,256 (249)

Evaluating the protection status and exposure to warming of Caribbean reefs with high functional potential

open access: yesConservation Biology, EarlyView.
Abstract Over the past decades, climate change has emerged as a major threat to global biodiversity, negatively affecting the integrity and functioning of ecosystems and the benefits they provide to people. To mitigate these impacts, it is essential to identify climate refugia that support the persistence of the structure and function of reef ...
Sara M. Melo‐Merino   +4 more
wiley   +1 more source

Comparisons Between CMIP5 and CMIP6 Models: Simulations of Climate Indices Influencing Food Security, Infrastructure Resilience, and Human Health in Canada

open access: yesEarth's Future, 2021
The warming climate can considerably affect socioeconomic activities and environmental health conditions in Canada. Climate models play a key role in evaluating the impact of climate change and developing adaption and mitigation strategies corresponding ...
Sarah‐Claude Bourdeau‐Goulet   +1 more
doaj   +1 more source

Thermal Stress Is Associated With Fragmentation of Mediterranean Posidonia oceanica Meadows

open access: yesGlobal Change Biology Communications, Volume 1, Issue 3, September 2026.
By combining a physiological model of cumulative thermal stress with AI‐based seagrass mapping, we show that chronic sublethal warming is associated with fragmentation of Mediterranean Posidonia oceanica meadows and increased regression risk by 2100. ABSTRACT Posidonia oceanica meadows, which underpin Mediterranean coastal ecosystems, are undergoing ...
Àlex Giménez‐Romero   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Flood Hazard in Aotearoa New Zealand Under Current and Future Climates

open access: yesGeoscience Data Journal, Volume 13, Issue 3, July 2026.
First nationally consistent freshwater flood maps for Aotearoa New Zealand, produced for 1% AEP rainfall design events under current and future climate conditions (1°C, 2°C, 3°C, and 4°C above pre‐industrial), with 4 m‐resolution water depth and depth–velocity outputs. ABSTRACT Flooding is one of the costliest hazards facing Aotearoa New Zealand (ANZ).
A. Harang   +10 more
wiley   +1 more source

Sensitivity of Large‐Scale Hydrological Predictions to Precipitation Phase Partitioning Methods Under a Changing Climate

open access: yesHydrological Processes, Volume 40, Issue 7, July 2026.
Future warming shifts precipitation from snow to rain across the Saskatchewan River Basin, reducing snow water equivalent and advancing snowmelt timing. Differences among precipitation phase‐partitioning methods propagate from snowpack accumulation to runoff magnitude and timing, producing earlier spring flows and higher peak discharge.
Fuad Yassin   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Influence of Observational Temperature Data Sets on ECS and TCR Estimates

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 12, 28 June 2026.
Abstract Uncertainties in estimates of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) and Transient Climate Response (TCR) are influenced by observational temperature data sets. Variability exists not just among the data products, but also within the creation of each one.
Vikrant Sapkota   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Correcting Underestimated Internal Variability Fails to Reconcile Models With Observed Pacific SST Gradient Strengthening

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 12, 28 June 2026.
Abstract The equatorial Pacific zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradient has strengthened since 1980, yet fewer than 1% of CMIP6 simulations reproduce this trend. We test whether underestimated internal variability explains this mismatch. Extreme El Niño events enhance interdecadal variability of the gradient, but CMIP6 models simulate them too ...
Yann Yvon Planton   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

Recent Weakening of the Global Radiative Feedback

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 12, 28 June 2026.
Abstract Earth's climate stability, characterized by the global radiative feedback parameter (λ) $(\lambda )$, varies decadally due to changing surface temperature patterns. Recent variations in λ $\lambda $ are poorly understood as coordinated model simulations typically end in 2014.
Senne Van Loon   +3 more
wiley   +1 more source

Reversal of the ITCZ Shift During the Satellite Era

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 12, 28 June 2026.
Abstract A southward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) during the latter half of the 20th century has been primarily attributed to interhemispheric differences in anthropogenic aerosol forcing. However, in recent decades anthropogenic aerosol emissions have declined, particularly over Northern Hemisphere (NH).
S. Shrestha, B. J. Soden, H. He
wiley   +1 more source

Multidecadal Atlantic “Warming Hole” Heat Content Variations Are Caused by Ocean Heat Transport, Not by Surface Fluxes

open access: yesGeophysical Research Letters, Volume 53, Issue 11, 16 June 2026.
Abstract The northern Atlantic south of Greenland and Iceland is the only part of the world which has cooled significantly since the 19th Century both in the atmosphere and ocean. The oceanic cooling is widely assumed to be a result of reduced ocean heat transport into this region.
Stefan Rahmstorf   +5 more
wiley   +1 more source

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