Results 31 to 40 of about 20,414 (267)
Forecasting droughts in East Africa [PDF]
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2014 The humanitarian crises caused by the recent droughts (2008–2009 and 2010–2011) in East Africa have illustrated that the ability to make accurate drought forecasts with sufficient lead time is essential. The use of dynamical model precipitation forecasts
E. Mwangi +4 more
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Harmonization and Verification of Three National European Icing Forecast Models Using Pilot Reports
Advances in Meteorology, 2022 The Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR) program aims at modernizing and harmonizing the European airspace, which currently has a strongly fragmented character.
Christoph Knigge +4 more
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Improving the sea state forecasts by using local wave observations and the ensembleBMA software
Environmental Data Science, 2023 The main goal of this study is to investigate if the publicly available sea state forecasts for the Aran Islands region in the Republic of Ireland can be improved.
Tatjana Kokina +3 more
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The combination of the economic forecasts using expert information
Статистика и экономика, 2019 Purpose of the study. The aim of this work is to consider the possibility of using expert information when combining forecasts as an additional factor in improving the accuracy of economic forecasting.
A. A. Surkov
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Energies, 2019 Accurate probabilistic forecasts of renewable generation are drivers for operational and management excellence in modern power systems and for the sustainable integration of green energy.
Antonio Bracale +2 more
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Order of operation for multi-stage post-processing of ensemble wind forecast trajectories [PDF]
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 2020 With numerical weather prediction ensembles unable to produce sufficiently calibrated forecasts, statistical post-processing is needed to correct deterministic and probabilistic biases.
N. Schuhen
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The challenge of forecasting high streamflows 1–3 months in advance with lagged climate indices in southeast Australia [PDF]
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2014 Skilful forecasts of high streamflows a month or more in advance are likely to be of considerable benefit to emergency services and the broader community. This is particularly true for mesoscale catchments (< 2000 km2) with little or no seasonal snowmelt,
J. C. Bennett +3 more
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To Combine Forecasts or to Combine Information? [PDF]
Econometric Reviews, 2010 When the objective is to forecast a variable of interest but with many explanatory variables available, one could possibly improve the forecast by carefully integrating them. There are generally two directions one could proceed: combination of forecasts (CF) or combination of information (CI).
Huiyu Huang, Tae-Hwy Lee
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Linear combination of forecasts with numerical adjustment via MINIMAX non-linear programming
GEPROS: Gestão da Produção, Operações e Sistemas, 2016 This paper proposes a linear combination of forecasts obtained from three forecasting methods (namely, ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing and Artificial Neural Networks) whose adaptive weights are determined via a multi-objective non-linear programming ...
Jairo Marlon Corrêa +4 more
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Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 2023 The selection of physical parameterization schemes for tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts has required a substantial amount of effort. In general, the evaluation of physical parameterization schemes and their combined performance was based solely on the ...
Xuan Wang, Zhe‐Min Tan
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