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Probability judgment in hierarchical learning: a conflict between predictiveness and coherence

Cognition, 2002
Why are people's judgments incoherent under probability formats? Research in an associative learning paradigm suggests that after structured learning participants give judgments based on predictiveness rather than normative probability. This is because people's learning mechanisms attune to statistical contingencies in the environment, and they use ...
David A, Lagnado, David R, Shanks
openaire   +2 more sources

Rivalry, Instability, and the Probability of International Conflict

Conflict Management and Peace Science, 2011
This article addresses the effect of political instability and domestic conflict on the probability of militarized interstate disputes. Existing research on the subject has produced inconsistent findings. I hypothesize that the effect of political instability on international disputes is conditional on states’ involvement in civil conflict.
openaire   +1 more source

Mathematical Models for Air Traffic Conflict and Collision Probability Estimation

IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2019
Increasing traffic demands and technological developments provide novel design opportunities for future air traffic management (ATM). In order to evaluate current air traffic operations and future designs, over the past decades, several mathematical models have been proposed for air traffic conflict and collision probability estimation.
Mihaela Mitici, Henk A. P. Blom
openaire   +3 more sources

Automated Conflict Resolution of Lane Change Utilizing Probability Collectives

2019 19th International Conference on Advanced Robotics (ICAR), 2019
Lane change is one of the most common maneuvers in traffic. It is a lateral movement which can affect the trajectory of other vehicles, with the possibility of collision. Although the field of autonomous vehicles has been growing and the repertoire of methods used for autonomous navigation is extensive, lane-changing still one of the causes of flow ...
Tiago C. dos Santos, Denis F. Wolf
openaire   +1 more source

Improved Monte Carlo Sampling for Conflict Probability Estimation

51st AIAA/ASME/ASCE/AHS/ASC Structures, Structural Dynamics, and Materials Conference<BR> 18th AIAA/ASME/AHS Adaptive Structures Conference<BR> 12th, 2010
Probabilistic alerting systems for airborne collision avoidance often depend upon accurate estimates of the probability of con ict. Analytical, numerical approximation, and Monte Carlo methods have been applied to con ict probability estimation. The advantage of a Monte Carlo approach is the greater exibility a orded in modeling the stochastic behavior
James Chryssanthacopoulos   +2 more
openaire   +1 more source

Conflict Probability Estimation Generalized to Non-Level Flight

Air Traffic Control Quarterly, 1999
A method known as conflict probability estimation (CPE) is presented to estimate the probability of conflict for pairs of aircraft with uncertain predicted trajectories.
Russell A. Paielli, Heinz Erzberger
openaire   +1 more source

The Integration of Conflict Probability and Severity for the Safety Assessment of Intersections

Arabian Journal for Science and Engineering, 2014
The use of traffic crash data-based methodologies for safety evaluation is inadequate due to the shortcomings such as unavailability and low quality of historical crash data. Other than crash data-based analysis, the use of empirical vehicle maneuvers and/or the development of micro-simulation models in conjunction with surrogate safety measures has ...
openaire   +1 more source

Sources of Conflict Between Work and Family Roles

Academy of Management Review, 1985
Jeffrey H Greenhaus, Nicholas J Beutell
exaly  

Estimation of conflict probability between aircraft

2016
J. Morio, D. Jacquemart, M. Balesdent
openaire   +1 more source

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