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Currency Crises and Exchange Rate Expectations

Currency Crises and Exchange Rate Expectations
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CURRENCY CRISES AND EXCHANGE RATE INSTABILITY

IFAC Proceedings Volumes, 1983
Abstract Currency crises are usually modelled as an outgrowth of government policy imposed on an otherwise stable environment. This paper presents an alternative view in which government policy holds an economy in an unstable environment through controls on portfolio choice.
G. Nickelsburg, V. Canto
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Currency Derivatives and Exchange Rate Forecastability

SSRN Electronic Journal, 2007
By incorporating new information generated by currency derivatives trading, underlying exchange rates should be less forecastable than previously and the underlying currency markets should, therefore, be more efficient. This hypothesis was tested, for the first time, for the period 1982 through 1997 on a clean sample of three major types of currency ...
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Effects of Cyclical Movements of Foreign Currency Interest Rates and Exchange Rates on the Vietnamese Currency’s Interest Rate and Exchange Rate

Asian Business & Management, 2005
This study attempts to measure the effects of cyclical movements of interest and exchange rates of selected OECD currencies on the interest and exchange rates of the Vietnamese currency in the pre- and post-regional crisis periods (1995–1997 and 2002–2004).
Phan M Ngoc, Phan T Nga, Nguyen T. Phuong Anh, Shigeru Uchida   +3 more
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Exchange rate dynamics and currency unification: The Ostmark-DM rate

Empirical Economics, 1993
This paper estimates a simple model of the exchange rate between the East and West German Mark immediately preceding German monetary union. Although there is a theoretical literature on exchange rate dynamics when the introduction of a fixed exchange rate is anticipated, the absence of data has limited empirical work on the subject. We show that in the
Burda, Michael C, Gerlach, Stefan
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Currency exchange rate bias.

Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied
This research examines biases in judgments about currency exchange rates and presents two types of biases that are caused by ignorance of the nonlinearity between the exchange rate and the amount of base currency. First, the average exchange rate of multiple exchange transactions is overestimated.
Kwanho Suk, Jieun Koo
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Uncertainty, Currency Areas and the Exchange Rate System

Economica, 1972
The uniqueness of international finance reflects the multitude of national currencies. Both benefits and costs are attached to separate national currencies. Each country with its own currency can pursue an independent monetary policy. Various costs are incurred with the foreign transactions associated with international payments.
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Exchange Rates and the Currency Denominations of International Bonds

Economica, 1980
In international loan transactions, both lender and borrower may be reluctant to assume the risks associated with uncertain future exchange rates. If most of their revenues and expenditures are concentrated in their respective domestic currencies, they will tend to attribute less portfolio risk to loans denominated in domestic, rather than foreign ...
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On forecast of exchange rate of a foreign currency

Proceedings of the 2000. IEEE International Conference on Control Applications. Conference Proceedings (Cat. No.00CH37162), 2002
Summarizes research on methods for forecasting the exchange rate of Italian Lire, British Pounds and German Marks in US Dollars. Different calculus procedures and forecast quality criteria were analyzed based on numerical data for the last two decades.
A.V. Prasolov, K.C. Wei
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