Results 91 to 100 of about 23,530 (228)
Output Gap Uncertainty, Sovereign Risk Premia and the Contingent Importance of the Bond Vigilantes
Metroeconomica, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper investigates the implications of output gap uncertainty for the conduct of fiscal policy using a small‐scale macroeconomic model with boundedly rational agents. Specifically, agents use an adaptive updating mechanism to approximate the unobservable potential output that suffers, similarly to the Hodrick and Prescott (1997) filter ...
Christian R. Proaño, Jonas Dix
wiley +1 more source
External Shocks, Trade Margins, and Macroeconomic Dynamics
Economies, 2020 This paper studies the role of the exchange rate regime for trade of new products. It first provides VAR evidence that a rise in external productivity shifts trade away from new products and more so in fixed regimes.
Stefano D’Addona, Lilia Cavallari
doaj +1 more source
Confronting Model Misspecification in Macroeconomics [PDF]
We estimate a Markov-switching mixture of two familiar macroeconomic models: a richly parameterized DSGE model and a corresponding BVAR model. We show that the Markov-switching mixture model dominates both individual models and improves the fit ...
Daniel F. Waggoner, Tao Zha
core
The Role of Labour Market Institutions in Shaping Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT We examine how labour market institutions shape monetary policy transmission in euro area countries. A theoretical model suggests that higher union density flattens the Phillips curve, amplifying output responses while dampening the inflation effects of monetary shocks. This is empirically confirmed using an interacted panel VAR.
Maximilian Boeck, Christian Glocker
wiley +1 more source
What Are The Drivers of Labor Productivity in Italy?
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT This paper introduces a novel sign restriction identification within a structural Bayesian vector autoregression (VAR) to analyse how labour productivity responds to supply and demand shocks and to quantify the contribution of shocks to cyclical fluctuations.
Josué Diwambuena, Francesco Ravazzolo
wiley +1 more source
A Predictive Likelihood Approach to Bayesian Averaging
Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, 2015 Multivariate time series forecasting is applied in a wide range of economic activities related to regional competitiveness and is the basis of almost all macroeconomic analysis.
Tomáš Jeřábek, Radka Šperková
doaj +1 more source
DSGE Slovakia is a medium size New Keynesian open economy model designed to simulate dynamic behavior of Slovak economy. It consists of about 50 equations and contains all important macroeconomic variables including real GDP and all its main components ...
Juraj Zeman, Matus Senaj
core
Is There an Information Channel of Monetary Policy?
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, EarlyView.ABSTRACT Exploiting the heteroskedasticity of the changes in short‐term and long‐term interest rates and exchange rates around the FOMC announcement, we identify three structural monetary policy shocks. We eliminate the predictable part of the shocks and study their effects on financial variables and macro variables.
Oliver Holtemöller +2 more
wiley +1 more source
A Proposal for a Flexible Trend Specification in DSGE Models
Review of Economic Perspectives, 2016 In this paper I propose a flexible trend specification for estimating DSGE models on log differences. I demonstrate this flexible trend specification on a New Keynesian DSGE model of two economies, which I consequently estimate on data from the Czech ...
Slanicay Martin
doaj +1 more source
Effects of China's low-carbon policy under stochastic shocks-a multi-agent DSGE model analysis. [PDF]
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2023 Guo X, Xiao B.
europepmc +1 more source